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DFB-Pokal

Referee: S Stegemann

Dresden

U U U T T

2–0

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

27 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
23	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.