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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
1–1
Full-time
Paderborn
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 4. · Paderborn 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Karlsruhe 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Paderborn 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Greuther Furth 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Magdeburg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Kaiserslautern 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Hamburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Nurnberg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Regensburg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Elversberg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 FC Koln 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Preußen Münster 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Ulm 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Darmstadt 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Braunschweig 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Paderborn
Roberto Massimo 🟨
29′
43′
🟨 Santiago Castaneda
Half-time 0–0
M. Dietz 🔁
↦ P. Müller
46′
1–0 G. Itter
49′
58′
🔁 I. Ansah
↦ F. Bilbija
60′
🟨 Sven Michel
69′
🔁 L. Herrmann
↦ K. Kostons
69′
🔁 D. Kinsombi
↦ S. Klaas
69′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ S. Michel
N. Gießelmann 🔁
↦ R. Massimo
77′
81′
A. Grimaldi 1–1
M. Mustapha 🔁
↦ D. Srbeny
82′
89′
🟨 Felix Götze
J. Consbruch 🔁
↦ N. Futkeu
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
44 N. Noll G
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
23 G. Jung D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
36 P. Müller M
37 J. Green M
11 R. Massimo M
10 B. Hrgota F
7 D. Srbeny F
9 N. Futkeu F
Bench (9)
33 M. Dietz
17 N. Gießelmann
8 M. Mustapha
14 J. Consbruch
4 D. Michalski
20 L. Popp
3 O. Mhamdi
1 N. Körber
5 R. Münz

Coach: A. Zorniger

Paderborn

3-4-3
1 P. Boevink G
17 L. Curda D
20 F. Götze D
25 T. Scheller D
23 R. Obermair M
5 S. Castañeda M
26 S. Klaas M
32 A. Zehnter M
7 F. Bilbija F
10 K. Kostons F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
29 I. Ansah
19 L. Herrmann
8 D. Kinsombi
39 A. Grimaldi
16 V. Musliu
9 M. Baur
36 F. Platte
33 M. Hoffmeier
30 M. Schubert

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
3,67
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.