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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Aarhus

S S U U S

2–2

Full-time

Randers FC

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 67%

56%

78%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 2. · Randers FC 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	6	3	0	+9	+6.0	21
2	Aarhus	9	5	3	1	+14	+1.6	18
3	FC Copenhagen	9	5	2	2	+7	+7.7	17
4	Silkeborg	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.3	17
5	Brondby	9	4	3	2	+6	+5.7	15
6	Randers FC	9	3	4	2	+1	+0.2	13
7	Viborg	9	3	3	3	+3	-2.4	12
8	Nordsjaelland	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.2	12
9	Aalborg	9	3	0	6	-13	-8.4	9
10	Sonderjyske	9	2	2	5	-8	-8.5	8
11	Lyngby	9	1	3	5	-6	-2.7	6
12	Vejle	9	0	0	9	-18	-4.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Aarhus	5	3	2	0	+10	+1.5	11
3	FC Copenhagen	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.7	11
4	Silkeborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.3	10
5	Nordsjaelland	5	2	3	0	+4	+2.8	9
6	Brondby	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.0	7
7	Viborg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.7	7
8	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.4	7
9	Aalborg	4	2	0	2	-6	-2.9	6
10	Sonderjyske	4	1	2	1	-1	-3.4	5
11	Lyngby	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.7	4
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-9	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	2	3	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	Brondby	5	2	2	1	+4	+3.7	8
3	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.1	7
4	Silkeborg	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.9	7
5	FC Copenhagen	4	2	0	2	+2	+2.9	6
6	Randers FC	4	1	3	0	+1	-0.2	6
7	Viborg	5	1	2	2	+2	+0.3	5
8	Nordsjaelland	4	1	0	3	-5	+2.4	3
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.2	3
10	Aalborg	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.5	3
11	Lyngby	4	0	2	2	-2	-2.1	2
12	Vejle	5	0	0	5	-9	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.