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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Szczerbowicz

Motor Lublin

U T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Slask Wroclaw

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Slask Wroclaw

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/7 matches

Win Ø 11%

22%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

11%

14%

Both score Ø 40%

22%

57%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 1,44

59% Possession 41%

21 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

14 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 12. · Slask Wroclaw 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	+14	+5.4	22
2	Rakow	10	6	2	2	+9	+6.7	20
3	Cracovia	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
4	Jagiellonia	9	6	0	3	+0	-0.2	18
5	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	1	4	+3	+3.8	16
6	Widzew Lodz	10	4	4	2	+2	-1.5	16
7	Piast Gliwice	9	4	3	2	+2	+1.0	15
8	Legia	9	4	2	3	+6	+4.3	14
9	GKS Katowice	10	3	3	4	-1	-4.4	12
10	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	2	4	+0	+0.9	11
11	Radomiak Radom	8	3	0	5	-1	+0.8	9
12	Motor Lublin	9	2	3	4	-5	-2.1	9
13	Lechia Gdansk	10	2	3	5	-7	-6.6	9
14	Korona Kielce	9	2	3	4	-7	-4.6	9
15	Puszcza	10	1	5	4	-3	-1.8	8
16	Zaglebie	9	2	2	5	-8	-2.6	8
17	Stal Mielec	8	2	1	5	-4	+0.9	7
18	Slask Wroclaw	7	0	4	3	-5	+0.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	5	5	0	0	+12	+5.6	15
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	5	0	0	+9	+6.1	15
3	Jagiellonia	5	4	0	1	+4	+4.2	12
4	Widzew Lodz	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
5	Legia	5	3	0	2	+6	+6.0	9
6	Piast Gliwice	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.3	8
7	GKS Katowice	6	2	2	2	+2	-2.6	8
8	Rakow	5	2	1	2	+4	+3.6	7
9	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
10	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.0	7
11	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
12	Stal Mielec	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.0	7
13	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+3	+3.6	6
14	Puszcza	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.7	6
15	Korona Kielce	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.3	5
17	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.1	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+5	+3.1	13
2	Cracovia	5	4	0	1	+5	-0.4	12
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
4	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
5	Widzew Lodz	6	1	3	2	-1	-2.1	6
6	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.5	6
7	Legia	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
8	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.0	4
10	GKS Katowice	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.8	4
11	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.2	4
12	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.8	3
13	Korona Kielce	5	0	3	2	-7	-5.1	3
14	Puszcza	5	0	2	3	-5	-3.6	2
15	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Pogon Szczecin	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.2	1
17	Zaglebie	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.6	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.