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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Bari
T U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 9. · Cosenza 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Spezia 6 3 3 0 +4 12
3 Sassuolo 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Mantova 6 3 1 2 +0 10
6 Brescia 6 3 0 3 +2 9
7 Sudtirol 6 3 0 3 +0 9
8 Modena 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Bari 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Cesena 6 2 2 2 +1 8
11 Reggiana 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Palermo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Juve Stabia 6 2 2 2 -2 8
16 Salernitana 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Frosinone 7 1 3 3 -7 6
19 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -2 5
20 Carrarese 6 1 0 5 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Cosenza
1–0 R. Pucino
C. Falletti
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ C. Kouan
Nunzio Lella 🟥
53′
Nunzio Lella ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
53′
59′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ G. Ricci
59′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ J. Mauri
Andrea Oliveri 🟨
64′
G. Sibilli 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
67′
71′
🟨 Charlys
73′
🔁 A. Rizzo Pinna
↦ S. Mazzocchi
80′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ M. Ricciardi
C. Saco 🔁
↦ M. Maita
81′
N. Obaretin 🔁
↦ M. Dorval
82′
86′
ℹ️ Aldo Florenzi
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
T. Fumagalli 1–1
Valerio Mantovani 🟨
90′
C. Favasuli 🔁
↦ A. Oliveri
94′
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bari

3-5-2
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
3 V. Mantovani D
7 A. Oliveri M
28 N. Lella M
8 Ahmad Benali M
4 M. Maita M
93 M. Dorval M
19 C. Falletti F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
20 G. Sibilli
94 C. Saco
55 N. Obaretin
27 C. Favasuli
9 A. Novakovich
99 A. Favilli
22 M. Pissardo
10 N. Bellomo
18 G. Manzari
13 A. Tripaldelli
17 R. Maiello
11 L. Sgarbi

Coach: M. Longo

Cosenza

3-4-1-2
1 A. Micai G
23 M. Venturi D
5 M. Camporese D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
24 J. Mauri M
6 Charlys M
31 G. Ricci M
28 C. Kouan F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
10 T. Fumagalli F
Bench (12)
34 A. Florenzi
19 R. Ciervo
32 L. Strizzolo
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
21 M. Zilli
55 A. Hristov
22 T. Vettorel
9 M. Sankoh
11 T. D'Orazio
2 B. Cimino
39 C. Kourfalidis
15 C. Dalle Mura

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,11
B
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.