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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Hamburg
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Paderborn
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
3,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
18 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 5. · Paderborn 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 5 2 0 +7 17
2 Karlsruhe 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Magdeburg 6 3 3 0 +7 12
4 Paderborn 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Hamburg 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Greuther Furth 7 2 3 2 +3 9
9 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 +5 8
10 Kaiserslautern 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Ulm 7 2 1 4 +0 7
12 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Elversberg 6 1 3 2 +1 6
14 Preußen Münster 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -6 5
16 Schalke 04 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Braunschweig 7 1 1 5 -12 4
18 Regensburg 6 1 0 5 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Paderborn
27′
🟨 Laurin Curda
Adam Karabec 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
46′
F. Bilbija 0–1
A. Zehnter
1–1 R. Glatzel
A. Karabec
54′
60′
F. Bilbija 1–2
62′
🟨 Raphael Obermair
2–2 D. Selke
N. Katterbach
67′
68′
🔁 M. Baur
↦ K. Kostons
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ N. Katterbach
70′
Fábio Baldé 🔁
↦ E. Sahiti
70′
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
70′
75′
🟨 Calvin Brackelmann
Sebastian Schonlau 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 D. Kinsombi
↦ S. Michel
80′
🔁 V. Musliu
↦ L. Curda
Miro Muheim 🟨
81′
L. Reis 🔁
↦ D. Hadžikadunić
83′
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ D. Selke
83′
87′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ I. Ansah
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

3-4-1-2
19 M. Raab G
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
29 E. Sahiti M
8 Daniel Elfadli M
23 J. Meffert M
33 N. Katterbach M
17 A. Karabec F
27 D. Selke F
9 R. Glatzel F
Bench (9)
7 J. Dompé
45 Fábio Baldé
10 I. Pherai
14 L. Reis
11 R. Königsdörffer
20 M. Richter
12 T. Mickel
30 S. Hefti
24 L. Perrin

Coach: S. Baumgart

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
1 P. Boevink G
17 L. Curda D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija M
5 S. Castañeda M
32 A. Zehnter M
10 K. Kostons F
29 I. Ansah F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
9 M. Baur
8 D. Kinsombi
16 V. Musliu
39 A. Grimaldi
19 L. Herrmann
26 S. Klaas
25 T. Scheller
33 M. Hoffmeier
30 M. Schubert

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
4,15
B
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.