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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Legia
U S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,26 xG 1,32
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 8. · Gornik Zabrze 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 +14 +5.4 22
2 Rakow 10 6 2 2 +9 +6.7 20
3 Cracovia 9 6 1 2 +5 -0.8 19
4 Jagiellonia 9 6 0 3 +0 -0.2 18
5 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 1 4 +3 +3.8 16
6 Widzew Lodz 10 4 4 2 +2 -1.5 16
7 Piast Gliwice 9 4 3 2 +2 +1.0 15
8 Legia 9 4 2 3 +6 +4.3 14
9 GKS Katowice 10 3 3 4 -1 -4.4 12
10 Motor Lublin 10 3 3 4 -4 -1.8 12
11 Gornik Zabrze 9 3 2 4 +0 +0.9 11
12 Radomiak Radom 8 3 0 5 -1 +0.8 9
13 Lechia Gdansk 10 2 3 5 -7 -6.6 9
14 Korona Kielce 9 2 3 4 -7 -4.6 9
15 Puszcza 10 1 5 4 -3 -1.8 8
16 Zaglebie 9 2 2 5 -8 -2.6 8
17 Stal Mielec 8 2 1 5 -4 +0.9 7
18 Slask Wroclaw 8 0 4 4 -6 +0.6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Gornik Zabrze
5′
🔁 P. Olkowski
↦ Manu Sánchez
10′
K. Lukoszek 0–1
1–1 R. Pankov
Rúben Vinagre
35′
39′
🟨 Damian Rasak
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Ambros
↦ L. Zahović
Luquinhas 🟨
60′
65′
🔁 N. Wojtuszek
↦ T. Ismaheel
65′
🔁 Y. Furukawa
↦ K. Lukoszek
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ T. Pekhart
68′
M. Burch 🔁
↦ Luquinhas
68′
J. Çelhaka 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
78′
W. Urbański 🔁
↦ M. Oyedele
78′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
13 P. Wszołek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
6 M. Oyedele M
11 K. Chodyna M
67 B. Kapustka M
25 R. Morishita M
82 Luquinhas M
7 T. Pekhart F
Bench (9)
17 M. Alfarela
4 M. Burch
21 J. Çelhaka
53 W. Urbański
23 P. Kun
8 R. Augustyniak
24 J. Ziółkowski
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
27 G. Kobylak

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
5 K. Szcześniak D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janža D
8 P. Hellebrand M
6 D. Rasak M
11 T. Ismaheel M
10 Ł. Podolski M
17 K. Lukoszek M
7 L. Zahović F
Bench (9)
16 P. Olkowski
18 L. Ambros
15 N. Wojtuszek
88 Y. Furukawa
44 A. Buksa
1 F. Majchrowicz
27 D. Szala
21 D. Sarapata
14 A. Tobolik

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Kuźma · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.