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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Bochum
U U U S U
0–0
Full-time
Paderborn
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
48%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,24 xG 0,39
47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 10
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 9. · Paderborn 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Darmstadt 22 11 9 2 +18 +7.1 42
2 Elversberg 22 12 5 5 +15 +0.1 41
3 Hannover 22 12 5 5 +11 +11.2 41
4 Schalke 04 21 12 4 5 +10 +5.5 40
5 Paderborn 21 12 3 6 +9 +10.5 39
6 Hertha 22 9 7 6 +7 -4.3 34
7 Kaiserslautern 22 10 4 8 +5 -0.9 34
8 Nurnberg 22 8 5 9 -2 +1.8 29
9 Bochum 21 7 6 8 +3 +3.7 27
10 Karlsruhe 22 7 6 9 -11 -16.0 27
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -11 -2.5 25
12 Braunschweig 22 7 4 11 -12 +0.7 25
13 Bielefeld 21 6 6 9 +3 +1.7 24
14 Holstein Kiel 21 6 6 9 -3 -10.1 24
15 Magdeburg 21 7 2 12 -6 +5.1 23
16 Preußen Münster 22 5 8 9 -7 -5.8 23
17 Dresden 22 5 6 11 -8 -0.0 21
18 Greuther Furth 22 5 4 13 -21 -7.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Paderborn
Koji Miyoshi 🟨
19′
Koji Miyoshi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
32′
37′
🟨 Sebastian Klaas
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Brackelmann
↦ S. Klaas
54′
🟨 Sven Michel
C. Marshall 🔁
↦ K. Miyoshi
61′
64′
🔁 R. Muller
↦ J. Sticker
64′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ S. Michel
73′
🔁 K. Okpala
↦ S. Tigges
K. Watjen 🔁
↦ F. Onyeka
74′
O. Olsen 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
74′
M. Sobottka 🔁
↦ C. Lenz
74′
Philipp Strompf 🟨
76′
E. Masovic 🔁
↦ M. Pannewig
82′
89′
🟨 Kennedy Okpala
92′
🔁 S. Marino
↦ M. Baur
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bochum

5-4-1
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
20 N. Loosli D
34 C. Lenz D
3 P. Strompf D
32 M. Wittek D
23 K. Miyoshi M
24 M. Pannewig M
21 F. Onyeka M
17 G. Holtmann M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
4 E. Masovic
8 K. Watjen
11 M. Kwarteng
13 O. Olsen
16 C. Marshall
18 M. Rakneberg
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht
31 M. Sobottka

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
41 D. Seimen G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Gotze D
3 J. Sticker D
17 L. Curda M
5 S. Castaneda M
14 M. Baur M
23 R. Obermair M
11 S. Michel F
26 S. Klaas F
27 S. Tigges F
Bench (9)
1 M. Schubert
2 R. Muller
4 C. Brackelmann
8 D. Kinsombi
9 N. Batzner
10 K. Okpala
22 M. Hansen
28 L. Copado
30 S. Marino

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U ✓
3,51
B
2,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.