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Ligue 2

Guingamp

U S T S U

2–3

Full-time

Bastia

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

50%

21%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,4

1,6

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

10 Corners 2

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Bastia 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	14	8	5	1	+19	29
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+10	29
3	Sochaux	15	8	4	3	+6	28
4	Ajaccio	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Le Havre	14	6	6	2	+6	24
6	Paris FC	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Niort	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Pau FC	15	6	3	6	-1	21
9	Rodez	14	5	4	5	+1	19
10	Guingamp	14	4	6	4	-1	18
11	Grenoble	14	5	3	6	-4	18
12	Nimes	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Caen	14	4	4	6	+0	16
14	Dunkerque	14	4	4	6	-3	16
15	Dijon	14	5	1	8	-6	16
16	Quevilly Rouen	14	4	4	6	-6	16
17	Valenciennes	14	4	3	7	-10	15
18	Amiens	14	2	7	5	-2	13
19	Bastia	14	2	6	6	-5	12
20	Nancy	14	1	6	7	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Ajaccio	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Pau FC	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+10	14
5	Le Havre	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Sochaux	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Grenoble	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Niort	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Dijon	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Paris FC	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Bastia	7	1	6	0	+2	9
12	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Dunkerque	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Caen	8	2	1	5	+0	7
16	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Nimes	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Nancy	7	1	3	3	-7	6
19	Quevilly Rouen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Valenciennes	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	7	4	3	0	+9	15
2	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Paris FC	8	4	0	4	+0	12
4	Auxerre	7	3	3	1	-1	12
5	Nimes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
6	Niort	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Valenciennes	7	3	2	2	-1	11
8	Quevilly Rouen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Le Havre	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Rodez	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Guingamp	8	2	4	2	-1	10
12	Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Caen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
14	Dunkerque	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Amiens	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Dijon	6	2	0	4	-4	6
17	Pau FC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Grenoble	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Bastia	7	1	0	6	-7	3
20	Nancy	7	0	3	4	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.