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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
2–1
Full-time
Caen
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
34%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
34%
45%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
55%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 10. · Caen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 29 16 12 1 +26 60
2 Bordeaux 30 16 8 6 +19 56
3 Metz 29 14 9 6 +18 51
4 Sochaux 29 14 7 8 +20 49
5 Bastia 30 14 6 10 +1 48
6 Caen 29 12 10 7 +6 46
7 Grenoble 29 12 8 9 +4 44
8 Paris FC 29 11 7 11 +0 40
9 St Etienne 29 10 9 10 +0 39
10 Quevilly Rouen 29 10 9 10 +0 39
11 Guingamp 29 10 8 11 -2 38
12 Amiens 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Rodez 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Valenciennes 29 7 12 10 -7 33
15 Annecy 29 8 9 12 -8 33
16 Pau FC 29 8 9 12 -10 33
17 Laval 29 9 4 16 -11 31
18 Nimes 29 8 5 16 -11 29
19 Dijon 29 6 8 15 -11 26
20 Niort 29 7 5 17 -21 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Caen
1–0 A. Jung
G. Gbellé
20′
2–0 G. Sangaré
38′
40′
🟨 Hugo Vandermersch
Half-time 2–0
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Hafid
↦ G. Kyeremeh
46′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Y. Court
46′
🔁 D. Diani
↦ B. Brahimi
46′
🔁 Q. Daubin
↦ A. Salétros
Garland Gbelle 🟨
52′
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
57′
Kalidou Sidibé 🟥
57′
59′
Alexandre Mendy 2–1
L. Mafouta 🔁
↦ A. Jung
69′
S. Loric 🔁
↦ J. Pendant
77′
77′
🔁 C. Zady Sery
↦ H. Vandermersch
J. Smith 🔁
↦ G. Gbellé
85′
M. Bangré 🔁
↦ M. Camara
85′
88′
🟨 Alexandre Mendy
89′
🟨 Djibril Diani
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-2-3-1
16 Y. Thuram-Ulien G
2 A. Sissoko D
15 S. Ben Youssef D
5 T. Cissokho D
24 J. Pendant D
17 G. Sangaré M
6 K. Sidibé M
45 I. Soumaré M
12 G. Gbellé M
19 M. Camara M
29 A. Jung F
Bench (7)
9 L. Mafouta
22 S. Loric
23 J. Smith
7 M. Bangré
1 N. Lemaître
13 Y. Boé-Kane
10 A. Bonnet

Coach: O. Echouafni

Caen

4-3-3
1 A. Mandréa G
24 H. Vandermersch D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
14 A. Salétros M
18 H. Mbock M
21 B. Brahimi M
11 Y. Court F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
17 G. Kyeremeh F
Bench (7)
12 M. Hafid
13 M. Sylla
28 D. Diani
6 Q. Daubin
10 C. Zady Sery
16 Y. Clementia
77 N. Bassette

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
2,90
B
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,50
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.