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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Pau FC
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Metz
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
28%
48%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
28%
34%
Both score Ø 36%
34%
38%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 16. · Metz 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 29 16 12 1 +26 60
2 Bordeaux 30 16 8 6 +19 56
3 Metz 29 14 9 6 +18 51
4 Sochaux 29 14 7 8 +20 49
5 Bastia 30 14 6 10 +1 48
6 Caen 29 12 10 7 +6 46
7 Grenoble 29 12 8 9 +4 44
8 Paris FC 29 11 7 11 +0 40
9 St Etienne 29 10 9 10 +0 39
10 Quevilly Rouen 29 10 9 10 +0 39
11 Guingamp 29 10 8 11 -2 38
12 Amiens 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Rodez 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Valenciennes 29 7 12 10 -7 33
15 Annecy 29 8 9 12 -8 33
16 Pau FC 29 8 9 12 -10 33
17 Laval 29 9 4 16 -11 31
18 Nimes 29 8 5 16 -11 29
19 Dijon 29 6 8 15 -11 26
20 Niort 29 7 5 17 -21 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -22 Metz – Pau FC 1–0

Match report

Pau FC Metz
44′
🟨 Fali Candé
Half-time 0–0
Yanis Begraoui 🟨
49′
58′
J. Prior 1–0
own goal
M. George 🔁
↦ Y. Begraoui
67′
Jean Ruiz 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 A. Atta
↦ C. Sabaly
D. Abzi 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
75′
C. Boli 🔁
↦ J. Evans
75′
E. Sylvestre 🔁
↦ S. DAlmeida
75′
2–0 M. George
C. Boli
79′
84′
🔁 L. Joseph
↦ L. Gueye
84′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ Y. Maziz
85′
🔁 J. N'Duquidi
↦ K. NDoram
86′
🟨 Joseph N'Duquidi
89′
🔁 X. Skuka
↦ G. Mikautadze
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-4-2
1 J. Prior G
7 E. Koffi D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
26 J. Evan's D
14 Y. Begraoui M
21 S. Beusnard M
6 S. D'Almeida M
27 Q. Boisgard M
20 H. Saivet F
11 M. Bassouamina F
Bench (7)
9 M. George
2 D. Abzi
23 C. Boli
12 E. Sylvestre
33 N. Delpech
16 M. Ndiaye
17 A. Batisse

Coach: D. Tholot

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
39 K. Kouao D
8 I. Traoré D
5 Fali Candé D
3 M. Udol D
10 Y. Maziz M
6 K. N'Doram M
27 D. Jean Jacques M
20 L. Gueye F
9 G. Mikautadze F
14 C. Sabaly F
Bench (7)
25 A. Atta
24 L. Joseph
36 A. Jallow
34 J. N'Duquidi
11 X. Skuka
40 O. Ba
15 A. Lô

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,94
U ✓
3,26
B
1,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.