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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Pau FC
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Paris FC
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 11. · Paris FC 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ajaccio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Laval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Bordeaux 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Concarneau 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Annecy 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Quevilly Rouen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Valenciennes 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Paris FC
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou 🟨
17′
L. Mouton 🔁
↦ J. Ruiz
26′
1–0 S. Beusnard
37′
41′
🟨 Lamine Diaby-Fadiga
Half-time 1–0
Louis Mouton 🟨
59′
2–0 K. Boutaïb
M. Sylla
63′
M. George 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
66′
S. Degert 🔁
↦ K. Boutaïb
66′
75′
🔁 N. Mendy
↦ J. Gaudin
75′
🔁 D. Diagouraga
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
Y. Njoh 🔁
↦ S. DAlmeida
83′
M. Ros 🔁
↦ K. Boto
83′
90′
🔁 O. Sissoko
↦ I. Kebbal
90′
🔁 G. Oualengbe
↦ A. Camara
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

3-4-1-2
1 B. Kamara G
17 A. Batisse D
4 X. Kouassi D
22 K. Ahoussou D
24 K. Boto M
6 S. D'Almeida M
25 J. Ruiz M
23 J. Obiang M
21 S. Beusnard F
10 K. Boutaïb F
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (7)
13 L. Mouton
9 M. George
33 S. Degert
30 Y. Njoh
15 M. Ros
40 M. Jeannin
12 P. Djitte

Coach: N. Usaï

Paris FC

3-4-1-2
40 I. Filipović G
13 K. Dabila D
31 S. Chergui D
5 M. Mbow D
25 Y. Koré M
17 A. Camara M
18 L. Doucet M
27 J. Gaudin M
8 Y. Demoncy F
10 I. Kebbal F
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
Bench (7)
4 N. Mendy
34 D. Diagouraga
36 O. Sissoko
28 G. Oualengbe
33 D. Colau
16 O. Nkambadio
35 M. Kanté

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,18
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.