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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Ajaccio
T T T T U
2–0
Full-time
St Etienne
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
32%
52%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
35%
35%
Both score Ø 32%
35%
29%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ajaccio 13. · St Etienne 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 31 17 10 4 +28 61
2 St Etienne 31 16 6 9 +16 54
3 Angers 31 16 6 9 +12 54
4 Laval 31 13 10 8 +5 49
5 Rodez 31 12 11 8 +8 47
6 Paris FC 31 12 10 9 +5 46
7 Caen 31 13 6 12 +2 45
8 Guingamp 31 11 11 9 +6 44
9 Pau FC 31 11 11 9 +1 44
10 Amiens 31 10 13 8 -2 43
11 Bordeaux 31 11 9 11 -4 42
12 Grenoble 31 10 11 10 +2 41
13 Ajaccio 31 10 9 12 -6 39
14 Bastia 31 10 8 13 -7 38
15 Dunkerque 31 10 8 13 -13 38
16 Annecy 31 9 9 13 -4 36
17 Troyes 31 8 11 12 -6 35
18 Concarneau 31 9 6 16 -13 33
19 Quevilly Rouen 31 5 14 12 -4 29
20 Valenciennes 31 2 11 18 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Oct -23 St Etienne – Ajaccio 0–0

Match report

Ajaccio St Etienne
15′
🟨 Benjamin Bouchouari
1–0 C. Ibayi
17′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Vidal
M. Barreto
48′
M. Soumano 🔁
↦ B. Touré
57′
66′
🔁 T. Monconduit
↦ L. Pétrot
66′
🔁 M. Bentayg
↦ B. Bouchouari
66′
🔁 A. Briançon
↦ D. Batubinsika
Y. Touzghar 🔁
↦ C. Ibayi
67′
80′
🟨 Mahmoud Bentayg
80′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ M. Cafaro
84′
🟥 Thomas Monconduit
R. Nouri 🔁
↦ H. Sakhi
92′
Riad Nouri 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-4-1-1
16 F. Sollacaro G
20 M. Youssouf D
21 C. Avinel D
5 C. Vidal D
31 T. Strata D
4 M. Barreto M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
6 T. Mangani M
29 H. Sakhi M
11 B. Touré F
18 C. Ibayi F
Bench (7)
22 M. Soumano
9 Y. Touzghar
7 R. Nouri
1 M. Michel
44 J. Escartin
33 O. Martinez-Jullien
3 S. Quemper

Coach: O. Pantaloni

St Etienne

4-1-4-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
29 A. Moueffek D
21 D. Batubinsika D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
5 F. Tardieu M
10 N. Mbuku M
6 B. Bouchouari M
14 D. Chambost M
18 M. Cafaro M
11 I. Cardona F
Bench (7)
7 T. Monconduit
13 M. Bentayg
23 A. Briançon
20 M. Rivera
9 I. Sissoko
42 E. Green
26 L. Fomba

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,93
U
2,99
B
2,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,68
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.