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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Paris FC

U U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Metz

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

65% Possession 35%

13 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 2. · Metz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lorient	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Annecy	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Ajaccio	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Dunkerque	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Red Star	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Metz	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Martigues	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Laval	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Caen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Rodez	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Clermont	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Caen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Martigues	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Metz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Martigues	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.