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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Lech Poznan

S U S S S

5–0

Full-time

Jagiellonia

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 69%

71%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

29%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

29%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

0,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,03 xG 0,16

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Jagiellonia 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	7	5	1	1	+8	+1.3	16
2	Cracovia	8	5	1	2	+4	-1.0	16
3	Legia	7	4	2	1	+8	+4.5	14
4	Piast Gliwice	7	4	2	1	+3	+0.6	14
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	1	3	+4	+2.6	13
6	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	+2	+1.4	12
7	Widzew Lodz	8	3	3	2	+1	-3.2	12
8	Rakow	7	3	2	2	+2	+3.7	11
9	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.7	9
10	Motor Lublin	7	2	3	2	-2	-2.0	9
11	Zaglebie	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.6	8
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.6	8
13	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.5	8
14	Puszcza	7	1	4	2	+0	+1.2	7
15	Radomiak Radom	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.3	6
16	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-5	-4.7	6
17	Slask Wroclaw	6	0	4	2	-4	+2.0	4
18	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-5	+0.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	4	4	0	0	+8	+6.1	12
2	Legia	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.2	9
3	Lech Poznan	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.6	9
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.3	9
5	Piast Gliwice	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.7	7
6	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
7	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.0	7
8	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
9	Puszcza	4	1	3	0	+3	+2.0	6
10	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.4	5
11	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.8	5
12	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
13	Stal Mielec	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.2	4
14	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.3	4
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3
16	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.5	3
17	Korona Kielce	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
18	Rakow	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.9	10
2	Cracovia	4	3	0	1	+4	-0.6	9
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
4	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.4	7
5	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.7	5
6	Widzew Lodz	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.1	5
7	GKS Katowice	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
8	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.2	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.0	4
10	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.2	4
11	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
12	Korona Kielce	4	0	3	1	-3	-4.0	3
13	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.8	3
14	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.6	1
15	Puszcza	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
16	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.1	1
17	Pogon Szczecin	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.4	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.