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Pro League

Referee: B Put

Cercle Brugge

S U S T T

2–3

Full-time

Genk

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,3

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

0,82 xG 4,52

35% Possession 65%

10 Shots 24

2 Shots on target 12

3 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 16. · Genk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	6	3	2	1	+4	+0.9	11
2	Charleroi	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.0	9
3	St. Gilloise	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
4	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	+4.1	7
5	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.4	7
6	Standard	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	+0	+4.6	7
8	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
9	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.1	6
11	Westerlo	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.1	6
12	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
13	Kortrijk	4	1	0	3	-4	+0.3	3
14	St Truiden	5	0	2	3	-9	-4.4	2
15	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.4	1
16	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-6	-5.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
3	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Charleroi	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.0	6
5	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
6	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
8	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
9	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.8	4
10	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
11	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
12	Kortrijk	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
13	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.6	2
14	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1
15	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	3
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
10	St. Gilloise	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-6	-5.6	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.1	0
14	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.8	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.