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Premier League
Referee: T Robinson
Fulham
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
West Ham
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,54 xG 0,76
55% Possession 45%
21 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 13. · West Ham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 +7 +5.1 9
2 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 +7 +4.9 9
3 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +4 +1.4 7
4 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.6 7
5 Newcastle 3 2 1 0 +2 -1.5 7
6 Brentford 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.7 6
7 Man United 4 2 0 2 +0 +2.5 6
8 Aston Villa 3 2 0 1 +0 +1.1 6
9 Bournemouth 3 1 2 0 +1 +0.7 5
10 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 0 +1 +2.7 5
11 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 +3 +1.0 4
12 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 +2 +1.8 4
13 Fulham 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.3 4
14 West Ham 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
15 Leicester 3 0 1 2 -2 -2.4 1
16 Crystal Palace 3 0 1 2 -3 -2.3 1
17 Ipswich 3 0 1 2 -5 -5.8 1
18 Wolves 3 0 1 2 -6 -0.8 1
19 Southampton 4 0 0 4 -7 -3.5 0
20 Everton 3 0 0 3 -8 -2.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham West Ham
1–0 R. Jiménez
E. Smith Rowe
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Lucas Paquetá
↦ T. Souček
46′
🔁 C. Summerville
↦ M. Antonio
Saša Lukić 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 V. Coufal
↦ Emerson
S. Berge 🔁
↦ A. Iwobi
66′
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ S. Lukić
66′
69′
🟨 Guido Rodríguez
70′
🔁 Carlos Soler
↦ G. Rodríguez
T. Cairney 🔁
↦ E. Smith Rowe
73′
Rodrigo Muniz 🔁
↦ R. Jiménez
73′
74′
🟨 Edson Álvarez
82′
🟨 Carlos Soler
82′
🔁 D. Ings
↦ E. Álvarez
H. Reed 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
86′
Reiss Nelson 🟨
92′
95′
D. Ings 1–1
J. Bowen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
2 K. Tete D
5 J. Andersen D
3 C. Bassey D
33 A. Robinson D
18 Andreas Pereira M
20 S. Lukić M
11 Adama Traoré M
32 E. Smith Rowe M
17 A. Iwobi M
7 R. Jiménez F
Bench (9)
16 S. Berge
19 R. Nelson
10 T. Cairney
9 Rodrigo Muniz
6 H. Reed
31 I. Diop
23 S. Benda
8 H. Wilson
21 T. Castagne

Coach: Marco Silva

West Ham

4-2-3-1
23 A. Areola G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
15 K. Mavropanos D
26 M. Kilman D
33 Emerson D
19 E. Álvarez M
24 G. Rodríguez M
20 J. Bowen M
28 T. Souček M
14 M. Kudus M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (9)
10 Lucas Paquetá
7 C. Summerville
5 V. Coufal
4 Carlos Soler
18 D. Ings
3 A. Cresswell
39 A. Irving
25 J. Todibo
1 Ł. Fabiański

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U ✓
3,48
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.