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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Rodez
U U T T S
3–2
Full-time
Caen
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
35%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 18. · Caen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 26 15 10 1 +25 55
2 Bordeaux 27 13 8 6 +15 47
3 Sochaux 27 13 7 7 +20 46
4 Metz 26 12 8 6 +16 44
5 Bastia 26 12 5 9 +1 41
6 Caen 26 10 10 6 +5 40
7 Quevilly Rouen 26 10 9 7 +4 39
8 Grenoble 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Amiens 25 10 6 9 +0 36
10 St Etienne 26 9 7 10 -2 34
11 Guingamp 26 9 7 10 -3 34
12 Annecy 26 8 8 10 -3 32
13 Valenciennes 26 7 11 8 -5 32
14 Paris FC 25 8 7 10 -4 31
15 Laval 26 9 4 13 -8 31
16 Pau FC 26 6 9 11 -11 27
17 Dijon 26 6 8 12 -7 26
18 Rodez 26 5 10 11 -11 25
19 Nimes 26 6 5 15 -16 23
20 Niort 26 6 5 15 -19 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Caen
1–0 S. Soumano
R. Boissier
15′
2–0 S. Raux-Yao
27′
38′
É. Vandenabeele 3–0
own goal
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 D. Diani
↦ G. Kyeremeh
46′
🔁 S. Essende
↦ H. Mbock
4–0 K. Corredor
L. Rajot
54′
L. Buadés 🔁
↦ M. Senaya
57′
65′
🔁 J. Deminguet
↦ Y. Court
65′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Q. Daubin
Joseph Mendes 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
67′
77′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ H. Vandermersch
A. Valério 🔁
↦ W. Younoussa
78′
A. Pembélé 🔁
↦ L. Rajot
78′
Andy Pembélé 🟨
84′
Abdel Hakim Abdallah 🟨
89′
Joseph Mendes 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Djibril Diani
92′
A. Abdi 4–1
B. Brahimi
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-4-1-2
30 T. Secchi G
14 B. Danger D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
20 M. Senaya M
6 R. Boissier M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
26 W. Younoussa F
35 S. Soumano F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
19 L. Buadés
11 Joseph Mendes
18 A. Valério
24 A. Pembélé
5 K. Boma
40 L. Hernandez
25 C. Dépres

Coach: D. Santini

Caen

4-3-3
1 A. Mandréa G
24 H. Vandermersch D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
14 A. Salétros M
18 H. Mbock M
6 Q. Daubin M
11 Y. Court F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
17 G. Kyeremeh F
Bench (7)
28 D. Diani
99 S. Essende
8 J. Deminguet
13 M. Sylla
21 B. Brahimi
91 E. Ntim
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,51
U
3,07
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,46
U2,5
1,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.