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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Reims
U U S U U
5–3
Full-time
Pau FC
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 38%
39%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 6. · Pau FC 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 33 20 7 6 +28 67
2 Le Mans 33 15 14 4 +17 59
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +16 57
4 Rodez 33 14 13 6 +5 55
5 Red Star 32 15 9 8 +8 54
6 Reims 33 13 14 6 +16 53
7 Annecy 33 15 7 11 +11 52
8 Montpellier 33 14 8 11 +10 50
9 Pau FC 33 12 9 12 -12 45
10 Dunkerque 33 11 10 12 +9 43
11 Guingamp 33 10 10 13 -6 40
12 Grenoble 33 7 15 11 -7 36
13 Boulogne 33 9 9 15 -14 36
14 Clermont 33 8 10 15 -7 34
15 Nancy 33 8 10 15 -18 34
16 Laval 33 5 14 14 -19 29
17 Bastia 32 5 13 14 -14 28
18 Amiens 33 6 6 21 -23 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -25 Pau FC – Reims 2–0

Match report

Reims Pau FC
14′
⚽ K. Dong 0–1
J. Anziani
21′
⚽ K. Dong 0–2
J. Anziani
1–2 M. Daramy ⚽
A. Tia
25′
2–2 K. Nakamura ⚽
S. Akieme
39′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 K. Nakamura ⚽
Y. Benhattab
49′
Abdoul Kone 🟨
53′
4–2 K. Nakamura ⚽
Y. Benhattab
61′
John Patrick 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 G. Versini
↦ O. Sadik
T. Diarra 🔁
↦ A. Tia
65′
65′
🔁 R. Verhaeghe
↦ T. Pouilly
H. Sekine 🔁
↦ M. Busi
66′
Y. Fofana 🔁
↦ Y. Benhattab
66′
74′
🔁 E. Zuliani
↦ S. Basse
75′
🔁 S. Lebouath
↦ N. Glossoa
5–2 K. Nakamura ⚽
H. Sekine
76′
78′
🔁 K. Gasnier
↦ K. Dong
Zabi 🔁
↦ J. Patrick
87′
A. Bojang 🔁
↦ K. Nakamura
88′
90′
⚽ R. Touzghar 5–3
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
29 E. Jaouen G
4 M. Busi D
92 A. Kone D
22 S. Kotto D
18 S. Akieme D
30 J. Patrick M
6 T. Leoni M
90 Y. Benhattab M
87 A. Tia M
9 M. Daramy M
17 K. Nakamura F
Bench (7)
20 A. Olliero
7 T. Diarra
86 Zabi
3 H. Sekine
8 Y. Fofana
27 A. Bojang
28 Elie

Coach: Karel Geraerts

Pau FC

5-3-2
30 E. Salles G
26 N. Glossoa D
2 T. Pouilly D
19 Kante D
3 J. Kalulu D
8 S. Basse D
84 R. Touzghar M
6 C. Fall M
20 J. Anziani M
18 O. Sadik F
9 K. Dong F
Bench (7)
40 G. Grimaud
11 K. Gasnier
87 E. Zuliani
10 G. Versini
33 R. Verhaeghe
36 T. Nihouarn
34 S. Lebouath

Coach: Thierry Debes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
4,80
B
7,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.