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Serie B
Lecce
S S S S U
0–0
Full-time
Perugia
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Perugia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 0
5 Corners 5
20 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecce 3. · Perugia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 Cremonese 8 5 1 2 +5 16
3 Lecce 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Brescia 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Ascoli 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Benevento 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Perugia 8 3 4 1 +4 13
8 Reggina 8 3 4 1 +1 13
9 Cittadella 8 4 1 3 -1 13
10 Frosinone 8 2 5 1 +3 11
11 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -2 11
12 Parma 8 2 4 2 +2 10
13 Monza 8 2 4 2 -1 10
14 Ternana 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Spal 8 2 3 3 +3 9
16 Como 8 2 3 3 -1 9
17 Crotone 9 1 4 4 -6 7
18 Alessandria 9 2 1 6 -8 7
19 Vicenza 8 1 0 7 -7 3
20 Pordenone 8 0 1 7 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,44
B
4,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.