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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Cittadella
U S T T U
0–0
Full-time
Spal
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
14 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
24 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 15. · Spal 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Bari 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Frosinone 9 6 0 3 +8 18
4 Ternana 8 5 1 2 +4 16
5 Brescia 8 5 1 2 +0 16
6 Genoa 8 4 3 1 +4 15
7 Parma 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Sudtirol 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Modena 8 3 0 5 -1 9
12 Benevento 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Ascoli 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Spal 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Cittadella 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Venezia 9 2 2 5 -4 8
17 Palermo 8 2 1 5 -6 7
18 Pisa 8 1 3 4 -2 6
19 Como 8 1 3 4 -6 6
20 Perugia 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Spal
15′
🟨 Andrea La Mantia
Andrea Danzi 🟨
26′
Romano Perticone 🟨
33′
Mirko Antonucci 🟨
40′
Andrea Danzi 🟨
44′
Andrea Danzi 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
I. Lores 🔁
↦ G. Beretta
46′
53′
🟨 Patryk Peda
Mamadou Tounkara 🔁
↦ Raúl Asencio
60′
N. Pavan 🔁
↦ G. Carriero
60′
60′
🔁 G. Tunjov
↦ F. Proia
65′
🟨 Christian Dalle Mura
72′
🔁 S. Rabbi
↦ G. Moncini
72′
🔁 F. Zuculini
↦ C. Dalle Mura
Elhan Kastrati 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 N. Zanellato
↦ F. Maistro
Carlos Embaló 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
82′
D. Frare 🔁
↦ R. Perticone
89′
Simone Branca 🟥
96′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
16 A. Vita D
2 R. Perticone D
6 S. Visentin D
17 D. Donnarumma D
20 G. Carriero M
72 A. Danzi M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
11 G. Beretta F
90 Raúl Asencio F
Bench (12)
30 I. Lores
9 Mamadou Tounkara
26 N. Pavan
7 Carlos Embaló
15 D. Frare
3 G. Felicioli
99 A. Magrassi
18 A. Mattioli
29 V. Mastrantonio
5 D. Del Fabro
84 T. Cassandro
77 L. Maniero

Coach: E. Gorini

Spal

5-3-2
1 E. Alfonso G
24 L. Dickmann D
27 P. Peda D
6 B. Meccariello D
4 C. Dalle Mura D
3 A. Tripaldelli D
8 F. Proia M
5 S. Esposito M
37 F. Maistro M
19 A. La Mantia F
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
40 G. Tunjov
99 S. Rabbi
14 F. Zuculini
10 N. Zanellato
29 A. Almici
21 R. Celia
11 M. Finotto
22 D. Thiam
23 A. Murgia
16 L. Valzania
2 A. Fiordaliso
20 M. Prati

Coach: D. De Rossi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,28
B
3,39
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.