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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Venezia
S S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Sudtirol
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
63%
25%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 2. · Sudtirol 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 16 10 4 2 +16 34
2 Venezia 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 Como 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
5 Cremonese 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Cittadella 16 8 4 4 +2 28
7 Modena 16 7 5 4 +1 26
8 Palermo 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Sampdoria 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
11 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Brescia 16 4 7 5 -1 19
13 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 16 4 5 7 -1 17
15 Reggiana 16 3 8 5 -4 17
16 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
17 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
18 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
19 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
20 FeralpiSalo 16 1 4 11 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Sudtirol
9′
N. Rauti 0–1
S. Merkaj
1–1 C. Gytkjær
G. Busio
13′
Half-time 1–1
M. Jajalo 🔁
↦ M. Ellertsson
46′
46′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ A. Cisco
2–1 C. Gytkjær
50′
52′
S. Merkaj 2–2
55′
🟨 Silvio Merkaj
L. Busato 🔁
↦ M. Šverko
59′
73′
ℹ️ Silvio Merkaj
VAR: Penalty confirmed
76′
D. Casiraghi 2–3
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ F. Zampano
77′
M. Ullmann 🔁
↦ G. Busio
77′
M. Olivieri 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
77′
78′
🔁 G. Lunetta
↦ N. Rauti
78′
🔁 J. Broh
↦ D. Peeters
Dennis Johnsen 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Andrea Giorgini
89′
🟨 Simone Davì
Marco Olivieri 🟨
91′
Marco Olivieri 🟨
91′
Marco Olivieri 🟥
91′
93′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ S. Merkaj
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Venezia

4-3-3
12 Bruno G
27 A. Candela D
13 M. Modolo D
33 M. Šverko D
7 F. Zampano D
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
77 M. Ellertsson M
10 N. Pierini F
9 C. Gytkjær F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
18 M. Jajalo
60 L. Busato
21 D. Cheryshev
31 M. Ullmann
99 M. Olivieri
24 N. Lella
19 B. Bjarkason
25 A. Dembélé
23 M. Grandi
30 M. Svoboda
38 M. Kofod Andersen
85 G. Pürg

Coach: P. Vanoli

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
5 K. Vinetot D
55 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
26 A. Cisco M
21 F. Tait M
42 D. Peeters M
17 D. Casiraghi M
23 N. Rauti F
33 S. Merkaj F
Bench (11)
11 R. Ciervo
8 G. Lunetta
15 J. Broh
9 E. Pecorino
27 C. Shiba
70 A. Moutassime
12 G. Drago
28 R. Kofler
6 L. Ghiringhelli
77 L. Lonardi
34 J. Tschöll

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
U
3,58
B ✓
5,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.