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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Cremonese
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Lecco
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Lecco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 36%
46%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Lecco 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 13 9 2 2 +15 29
2 Venezia 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Palermo 13 7 2 4 +8 23
4 Cremonese 13 6 4 3 +8 22
5 Modena 13 6 4 3 +1 22
6 Catanzaro 13 6 3 4 +2 21
7 Como 12 6 3 3 +2 21
8 Cosenza 13 5 4 4 +5 19
9 Cittadella 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Bari 13 3 9 1 +2 18
11 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Sudtirol 12 4 4 4 +2 16
13 Pisa 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Reggiana 13 3 6 4 -3 15
15 Brescia 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Ascoli 13 3 3 7 -4 12
17 Lecco 12 3 3 6 -7 12
18 Spezia 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Ternana 13 1 4 8 -6 7
20 FeralpiSalo 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Lecco
1–0 M. Castagnetti
M. Coda
20′
23′
🟨 Alessandro Bianconi
Luca Zanimacchia 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 M. Lemmens
↦ N. Buso
G. Abrego 🔁
↦ C. Buonaiuto
62′
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
62′
Valentin Antov 🟨
66′
M. Collocolo 🔁
↦ C. Pickel
67′
72′
🔁 M. Tordini
↦ A. Sersanti
80′
🔁 G. Galli
↦ A. Ioniţă
80′
🔁 U. Eusepi
↦ A. Novaković
81′
🔁 D. Guglielmotti
↦ F. Lepore
85′
🟨 Mats Lemmens
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ M. Coda
85′
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ L. Sernicola
85′
Michele Castagnetti 🟨
92′
Franco Vázquez 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
90 M. Coda F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (12)
32 G. Abrego
33 G. Quagliata
8 M. Collocolo
77 D. Okereke
18 P. Ghiglione
44 L. Lochoshvili
7 N. Sekulov
37 Ž. Majer
14 L. Valzania
31 Y. Rocchetti
21 G. Saro
9 D. Ciofani

Coach: G. Stroppa

Lecco

4-3-3
22 U. Saracco G
32 F. Lepore D
2 V. Celjak D
6 A. Bianconi D
17 A. Caporale D
5 D. Degli Innocenti M
8 A. Sersanti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
21 G. Crociata F
90 A. Novaković F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
83 M. Lemmens
11 M. Tordini
96 G. Galli
9 U. Eusepi
44 D. Guglielmotti
7 L. Giudici
12 L. Bonadeo
18 L. Pinzauti
13 M. Battistini
20 F. Donati
80 V. Agostinelli
34 L. Marrone

Coach: E. Bonazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,66
B
7,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.