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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Lecco
U S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Cremonese
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
3,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
23%
55%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
45%
Both score Ø 48%
59%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecco 20. · Cremonese 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 23 14 6 3 +21 48
2 Cremonese 22 12 5 5 +15 41
3 Venezia 23 12 5 6 +11 41
4 Palermo 23 11 6 6 +12 39
5 Como 22 11 6 5 +6 39
6 Cittadella 23 10 6 7 +2 36
7 Catanzaro 23 10 5 8 +3 35
8 Brescia 23 8 8 7 +2 32
9 Modena 22 8 7 7 -3 31
10 Reggiana 23 6 11 6 -1 29
11 Cosenza 23 7 7 9 +0 28
12 Sampdoria 22 8 4 10 -5 28
13 Pisa 23 6 9 8 -2 27
14 Bari 23 5 12 6 -5 27
15 Sudtirol 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Ascoli 22 5 7 10 -5 22
17 Ternana 22 5 6 11 -5 21
18 FeralpiSalo 23 5 6 12 -12 21
19 Spezia 23 4 9 10 -15 21
20 Lecco 22 5 5 12 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -23 Cremonese – Lecco 1–0

Match report

Lecco Cremonese
13′
🟨 Luka Lochoshvili
29′
🟨 Valentin Antov
Giorgio Galli 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
A. Sersanti 🔁
↦ G. Galli
46′
54′
M. Coda 0–1
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ M. Listkowski
57′
Mario Ierardi 🟨
58′
G. Lunetta 🔁
↦ M. Frigerio
58′
64′
🟨 Luca Zanimacchia
65′
🔁 P. Ghiglione
↦ L. Zanimacchia
69′
🔁 F. Afena-Gyan
↦ C. Falletti
69′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ M. Coda
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ G. Crociata
73′
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ E. Salcedo
73′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lecco

4-3-3
23 E. Lamanna G
44 D. Guglielmotti D
68 M. Ierardi D
2 V. Celjak D
17 A. Caporale D
27 A. Ioniţă M
96 G. Galli M
26 M. Frigerio M
21 G. Crociata F
10 E. Salcedo F
29 M. Listkowski F
Bench (12)
8 A. Sersanti
90 A. Novakovich
7 G. Lunetta
5 D. Degli Innocenti
45 R. Inglese
13 E. Capradossi
6 A. Bianconi
14 V. Parigini
22 U. Saracco
32 F. Lepore
83 M. Lemmens
11 H. Salomaa

Coach: E. Bonazzoli

Cremonese

3-5-2
21 G. Saro G
26 V. Antov D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
17 L. Sernicola M
32 G. Abrego M
19 M. Castagnetti M
71 D. Johnsen M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
90 M. Coda F
7 C. Falletti F
Bench (10)
18 P. Ghiglione
11 F. Afena-Gyan
74 F. Tsadjout
4 L. Marrone
24 G. Della Rovere
33 G. Quagliata
97 A. Livieri
9 D. Ciofani
31 Y. Rocchetti
12 T. Brahja

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,02
U
3,70
B ✓
1,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.