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Serie B

Referee: L Pairetto

Bari

U S T T T

2–0

Full-time

Spezia

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

26%

53%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

26%

37%

Both score Ø 42%

47%

37%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 8. · Spezia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	13	4	2	+23	43
2	Spezia	19	10	8	1	+18	38
3	Pisa	19	11	5	3	+14	38
4	Cremonese	20	8	6	6	+5	30
5	Juve Stabia	19	7	7	5	-1	28
6	Cesena	19	7	4	8	+1	25
7	Catanzaro	19	4	12	3	+3	24
8	Bari	19	5	9	5	+2	24
9	Palermo	19	6	6	7	+2	24
10	Modena	19	5	9	5	+1	24
11	Carrarese	19	6	6	7	-4	24
12	Mantova	19	5	8	6	-2	23
13	Brescia	20	5	8	7	-3	23
14	Cosenza	19	4	9	6	-3	21
15	Reggiana	19	5	6	8	-4	21
16	Cittadella	19	5	6	8	-13	21
17	Sampdoria	19	4	8	7	-6	20
18	Frosinone	19	4	7	8	-10	19
19	Salernitana	19	4	6	9	-9	18
20	Sudtirol	19	5	2	12	-14	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	10	7	3	0	+13	24
2	Spezia	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	Sassuolo	9	7	1	1	+15	22
4	Cesena	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Carrarese	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Mantova	9	5	3	1	+5	18
7	Modena	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Catanzaro	10	3	5	2	+4	14
9	Bari	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Juve Stabia	9	4	2	3	-1	14
11	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+2	12
14	Salernitana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Frosinone	10	2	5	3	-2	11
17	Cosenza	10	2	5	3	-2	11
18	Sampdoria	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Cittadella	9	1	6	2	-1	9
20	Sudtirol	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	6	3	1	+8	21
2	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Spezia	10	3	6	1	+4	15
4	Pisa	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Juve Stabia	10	3	5	2	+0	14
6	Palermo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Cittadella	10	4	0	6	-12	12
8	Bari	9	2	4	3	+1	10
9	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Catanzaro	9	1	7	1	-1	10
11	Brescia	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Sampdoria	10	2	4	4	-5	10
13	Modena	10	1	6	3	-3	9
14	Reggiana	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Sudtirol	9	3	0	6	-6	9
16	Frosinone	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Salernitana	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	Carrarese	10	1	3	6	-10	6
19	Cesena	9	1	2	6	-5	5
20	Mantova	10	0	5	5	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.