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Serie B

Referee: D Perenzoni

Catanzaro

U S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Salernitana

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

47%

42%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 10. · Salernitana 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	20	14	4	2	+24	46
2	Spezia	20	10	8	2	+16	38
3	Pisa	19	11	5	3	+14	38
4	Cremonese	20	8	6	6	+5	30
5	Juve Stabia	19	7	7	5	-1	28
6	Bari	20	6	9	5	+4	27
7	Carrarese	20	7	6	7	-2	27
8	Modena	20	5	10	5	+1	25
9	Cesena	20	7	4	9	-1	25
10	Catanzaro	19	4	12	3	+3	24
11	Palermo	19	6	6	7	+2	24
12	Reggiana	20	6	6	8	-2	24
13	Brescia	20	5	8	7	-3	23
14	Mantova	20	5	8	7	-4	23
15	Cosenza	20	4	9	7	-4	21
16	Cittadella	19	5	6	8	-13	21
17	Sampdoria	19	4	8	7	-6	20
18	Frosinone	19	4	7	8	-10	19
19	Salernitana	19	4	6	9	-9	18
20	Sudtirol	20	5	3	12	-14	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	8	1	1	+16	25
2	Pisa	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Spezia	9	7	2	0	+14	23
4	Carrarese	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Cesena	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Mantova	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Bari	11	4	5	2	+3	17
8	Modena	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Catanzaro	10	3	5	2	+4	14
10	Juve Stabia	9	4	2	3	-1	14
11	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+2	12
14	Salernitana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Frosinone	10	2	5	3	-2	11
17	Cosenza	10	2	5	3	-2	11
18	Sampdoria	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Cittadella	9	1	6	2	-1	9
20	Sudtirol	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	6	3	1	+8	21
2	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Spezia	11	3	6	2	+2	15
4	Pisa	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Juve Stabia	10	3	5	2	+0	14
6	Palermo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Cittadella	10	4	0	6	-12	12
9	Bari	9	2	4	3	+1	10
10	Catanzaro	9	1	7	1	-1	10
11	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Brescia	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Sampdoria	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Sudtirol	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Modena	10	1	6	3	-3	9
16	Frosinone	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Salernitana	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	Carrarese	10	1	3	6	-10	6
19	Mantova	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Cesena	10	1	2	7	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.