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Serie B

Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi

Brescia

U U U U U

2–3

Full-time

Catanzaro

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 23%

23%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

41%

Both score Ø 57%

59%

55%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%

17 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 14. · Catanzaro 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	23	16	4	3	+26	52
2	Spezia	23	12	9	2	+21	45
3	Pisa	22	13	6	3	+16	45
4	Cremonese	22	10	6	6	+10	36
5	Juve Stabia	23	8	9	6	-1	33
6	Bari	23	6	12	5	+4	30
7	Palermo	22	8	6	8	+4	30
8	Cesena	23	8	6	9	+0	30
9	Catanzaro	22	5	14	3	+4	29
10	Mantova	23	6	10	7	-3	28
11	Cittadella	23	7	7	9	-12	28
12	Carrarese	23	7	6	10	-8	27
13	Modena	22	5	11	6	-1	26
14	Brescia	22	5	10	7	-3	25
15	Reggiana	22	6	7	9	-3	25
16	Cosenza	23	4	10	9	-7	22
17	Sampdoria	23	4	10	9	-8	22
18	Sudtirol	23	6	4	13	-13	22
19	Salernitana	22	5	6	11	-10	21
20	Frosinone	23	4	9	10	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	9	1	1	+18	28
2	Spezia	11	8	3	0	+15	27
3	Pisa	11	8	3	0	+14	27
4	Cesena	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Carrarese	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+3	19
7	Catanzaro	12	4	6	2	+5	18
8	Palermo	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Bari	12	4	6	2	+3	18
10	Juve Stabia	11	5	3	3	+0	18
11	Modena	11	4	5	2	+4	17
12	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
13	Salernitana	12	4	3	5	-1	15
14	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
15	Reggiana	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Cittadella	11	2	6	3	-1	12
17	Cosenza	12	2	6	4	-3	12
18	Frosinone	12	2	5	5	-8	11
19	Sampdoria	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
3	Spezia	12	4	6	2	+6	18
4	Pisa	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Cittadella	12	5	1	6	-11	16
6	Juve Stabia	12	3	6	3	-1	15
7	Sudtirol	12	4	1	7	-5	13
8	Bari	11	2	6	3	+1	12
9	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
11	Sampdoria	12	2	6	4	-5	12
12	Catanzaro	10	1	8	1	-1	11
13	Brescia	11	2	5	4	-4	11
14	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Modena	11	1	6	4	-5	9
17	Mantova	12	1	6	5	-6	9
18	Cesena	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Salernitana	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Carrarese	12	1	3	8	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.