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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Cremonese
U S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Modena
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
45%
23%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
45%
41%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Modena 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 23 16 4 3 +26 52
2 Pisa 23 14 6 3 +17 48
3 Spezia 23 12 9 2 +21 45
4 Cremonese 22 10 6 6 +10 36
5 Juve Stabia 23 8 9 6 -1 33
6 Catanzaro 23 6 14 3 +5 32
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 23 8 6 9 +3 30
9 Cesena 23 8 6 9 +0 30
10 Reggiana 23 7 7 9 -2 28
11 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
12 Cittadella 23 7 7 9 -12 28
13 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
14 Modena 22 5 11 6 -1 26
15 Brescia 23 5 10 8 -4 25
16 Cosenza 23 4 10 9 -7 22
17 Sampdoria 23 4 10 9 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -11 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Modena
1–0 J. Vandeputte
F. Vázquez
17′
25′
A. Di Pardo 1–1
G. Defrel
F. Folino 🔁
↦ F. Ceccherini
41′
42′
A. Palumbo 1–2
Half-time 1–2
53′
🟨 Matteo Cotali
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
59′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
59′
62′
🔁 Pedro Mendes
↦ G. Defrel
62′
🔁 R. Idrissi
↦ M. Cotali
62′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ G. Caso
Paulo Azzi 🔁
↦ Ž. Majer
76′
M. De Luca 🔁
↦ V. Antov
77′
81′
🔁 G. Beyuku
↦ A. Di Pardo
Marco Nasti 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 L. Magnino
↦ S. Santoro
2–2 M. De Luca
Paulo Azzi
88′
95′
🟨 Fabio Gerli
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cremonese

5-3-2
1 A. Fulignati G
4 T. Barbieri D
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
23 F. Ceccherini D
98 L. Zanimacchia D
6 C. Pickel M
37 Ž. Majer M
27 J. Vandeputte M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (9)
55 F. Folino
11 D. Johnsen
99 M. Nasti
7 Paulo Azzi
9 M. De Luca
62 T. Milanese
10 C. Buonaiuto
21 G. Saro
12 G. Drago

Coach: G. Stroppa

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
23 M. Caldara D
19 G. Zaro D
25 A. Dellavalle D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
11 Pedro Mendes
27 R. Idrissi
21 K. Bozhanaj
2 G. Beyuku
6 L. Magnino
31 Eric Botteghin
5 T. Battistella
7 E. Duca
90 F. Abiuso
24 M. Oliva
78 F. Bagheria
9 E. Gliozzi

Coach: P. Mandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U ✓
3,29
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.