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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Cittadella
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Modena
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
34%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 59%
55%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 11. · Modena 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 30 19 8 3 +27 65
2 Venezia 30 17 6 7 +21 57
3 Cremonese 30 16 8 6 +16 56
4 Como 30 16 7 7 +10 55
5 Palermo 30 14 7 9 +11 49
6 Catanzaro 30 14 7 9 +8 49
7 Brescia 30 9 12 9 +2 39
8 Sampdoria 29 11 6 12 -4 39
9 Sudtirol 30 10 8 12 +0 38
10 Pisa 30 9 10 11 -2 37
11 Cittadella 29 10 7 12 -5 37
12 Reggiana 29 7 15 7 -2 36
13 Modena 29 8 12 9 -5 36
14 Cosenza 30 8 10 12 -2 34
15 Bari 29 7 13 9 -7 34
16 Ternana 30 8 8 14 -5 32
17 Spezia 29 6 12 11 -14 30
18 Ascoli 29 6 10 13 -7 28
19 FeralpiSalo 30 7 6 17 -15 27
20 Lecco 29 5 6 18 -27 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Modena
Simone Branca 🟨
7′
1–0 F. Amatucci
L. Carissoni
13′
Alessio Rizza 🟨
35′
42′
L. Magnino 1–1
N. Corrado
Half-time 1–1
F. Giraudo 🔁
↦ A. Rizza
46′
47′
🟨 Simone Santoro
55′
🔁 F. Ponsi
↦ A. Palumbo
56′
🔁 A. Pergreffi
↦ G. Zaro
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ E. Baldini
65′
T. Maistrello 🔁
↦ A. Magrassi
65′
M. Angeli 🔁
↦ F. Giraudo
65′
69′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ E. Gliozzi
69′
🔁 M. Cotali
↦ N. Corrado
V. Mastrantonio 🔁
↦ S. Branca
78′
84′
🟨 Cristian Cauz
86′
🔁 L. Tremolada
↦ F. Abiuso
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-2
77 L. Maniero G
2 A. Salvi D
30 S. Negro D
15 D. Frare D
24 L. Carissoni M
8 F. Amatucci M
23 S. Branca M
16 A. Vita M
28 A. Rizza M
92 E. Baldini F
9 A. Magrassi F
Bench (12)
98 F. Giraudo
7 L. Pandolfi
32 T. Maistrello
4 M. Angeli
5 V. Mastrantonio
64 A. Cecchetto
20 G. Carriero
10 C. Cassano
18 A. Tessiore
11 F. Pittarello
6 E. Sottini
36 E. Kastrati

Coach: E. Gorini

Modena

3-5-2
12 A. Seculin G
27 A. Riccio D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
8 S. Santoro M
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
91 N. Corrado M
9 E. Gliozzi F
90 F. Abiuso F
Bench (12)
3 F. Ponsi
4 A. Pergreffi
32 L. Strizzolo
29 M. Cotali
10 L. Tremolada
17 J. Manconi
99 S. Oukhadda
23 T. Battistella
30 K. Bozhanaj
26 R. Gagno
7 E. Duca
73 L. Di Stefano

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
2,99
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.