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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Pisa
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Cittadella
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 46%
63%
29%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 2. · Cittadella 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 24 17 4 3 +28 55
2 Pisa 24 15 6 3 +18 51
3 Spezia 24 13 9 2 +23 48
4 Cremonese 24 10 7 7 +9 37
5 Catanzaro 24 7 14 3 +7 35
6 Bari 24 7 12 5 +5 33
7 Juve Stabia 24 8 9 7 -3 33
8 Palermo 24 8 6 10 +2 30
9 Modena 24 6 12 6 +1 30
10 Cesena 24 8 6 10 -2 30
11 Brescia 25 6 11 8 -3 29
12 Reggiana 24 7 7 10 -4 28
13 Mantova 24 6 10 8 -5 28
14 Cittadella 24 7 7 10 -14 28
15 Carrarese 24 7 6 11 -9 27
16 Sampdoria 24 5 10 9 -7 25
17 Salernitana 25 6 7 12 -10 25
18 Sudtirol 24 7 4 13 -11 25
19 Cosenza 24 4 10 10 -8 22
20 Frosinone 24 4 9 11 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Cittadella
Adrian Rus 🟨
5′
30′
🟨 Elio Capradossi
Half-time 0–0
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ A. Rus
46′
Gabriele Piccinini ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
61′
🔁 S. Rabbi
↦ O. Okwonkwo
65′
🟨 Andrea Tessiore
H. Meister 🔁
↦ O. Moruțan
69′
69′
🔁 R. Palmieri
↦ A. Tessiore
M. Solbakken 🔁
↦ G. Piccinini
78′
A. Arena 🔁
↦ A. Lind
78′
78′
🔁 S. Tronchin
↦ F. Amatucci
83′
🟨 Luca Pandolfi
83′
L. Pandolfi 0–1
S. Tronchin
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ A. Caracciolo
85′
97′
ℹ️ Riccardo Palmieri
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
66 L. Sernicola M
36 G. Piccinini M
8 M. Højholt M
3 S. Angori M
80 O. Moruțan F
32 S. Moreo F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (11)
33 A. Calabresi
14 H. Meister
21 M. Solbakken
30 A. Arena
10 E. Vignato
1 Nícolas
27 A. Castellini
28 O. Abildgaard
13 C. Sussi
94 G. Bonfanti
22 L. Loria

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Cittadella

3-5-2
78 L. Maniero G
2 A. Salvi D
13 E. Capradossi D
6 E. Matino D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
8 F. Amatucci M
18 A. Tessiore M
32 E. Masciangelo M
7 L. Pandolfi F
31 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (12)
21 S. Rabbi
37 R. Palmieri
17 S. Tronchin
26 N. Pavan
5 F. Casolari
20 D. Voltan
45 M. Cardinali
35 S. Piccinini
28 A. Rizza
74 A. Sanogo
11 J. Desogus
64 A. Cecchetto

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U
3,61
B ✓
5,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.