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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Juve Stabia
S T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Cittadella
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
37%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
56%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
37%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 6. · Cittadella 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Pisa 27 16 7 4 +19 55
3 Spezia 28 13 12 3 +22 51
4 Catanzaro 27 9 15 3 +9 42
5 Cremonese 27 11 8 8 +10 41
6 Juve Stabia 27 10 9 8 +0 39
7 Bari 27 8 13 6 +4 37
8 Cesena 27 10 7 10 +0 37
9 Palermo 27 9 8 10 +5 35
10 Modena 27 7 13 7 +2 34
11 Carrarese 27 8 7 12 -9 31
12 Cittadella 27 8 7 12 -16 31
13 Brescia 27 6 12 9 -5 30
14 Reggiana 27 7 9 11 -5 30
15 Sudtirol 28 8 6 14 -12 30
16 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
17 Mantova 27 6 11 10 -9 29
18 Salernitana 27 6 8 13 -11 26
19 Cosenza 27 5 10 12 -13 25
20 Frosinone 27 4 12 11 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Cittadella
33′
O. Okwonkwo 0–1
37′
🟨 Alessandro Salvi
41′
🟨 Riccardo Palmieri
Half-time 0–1
E. Dubickas 🔁
↦ C. Pierobon
46′
47′
🔁 L. Pandolfi
↦ O. Okwonkwo
49′
🟨 Luca Pandolfi
Andrea Adorante 🟨
73′
76′
🟨 Alessio Rizza
77′
🔁 E. Masciangelo
↦ R. Palmieri
77′
🔁 A. Tessiore
↦ A. Rizza
L. Sgarbi 🔁
↦ K. Piscopo
78′
N. Mosti 🔁
↦ M. Ruggero
78′
M. Meli 🔁
↦ G. Leone
87′
G. Morachioli 🔁
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
90′
92′
🔁 J. Desogus
↦ S. Rabbi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
55 G. Leone M
8 D. Buglio M
29 N. Fortini M
10 C. Pierobon F
11 K. Piscopo F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
7 E. Dubickas
18 L. Sgarbi
98 N. Mosti
14 M. Meli
17 G. Morachioli
80 A. Louati
25 A. Gerbo
45 P. Peda
13 M. Baldi
3 Y. Rocchetti
2 D. Quaranta
1 K. Matošević

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Cittadella

3-5-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
8 F. Amatucci M
37 R. Palmieri M
28 A. Rizza M
31 O. Okwonkwo F
21 S. Rabbi F
Bench (11)
7 L. Pandolfi
32 E. Masciangelo
18 A. Tessiore
11 J. Desogus
45 M. Cardinali
20 D. Voltan
74 A. Sanogo
78 L. Maniero
35 S. Piccinini
5 F. Casolari
6 E. Matino

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,17
B ✓
4,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.