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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Perenzoni

Monza

T T S T T

0–1

Full-time

Frosinone

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
11	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.