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Serie B

Referee: Simone Galipo

Bari

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Monza

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

20 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 17. · Monza 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Virtus Entella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.