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Serie B
Referee: Niccolo Turrini
Reggiana
T U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Catanzaro
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 9. · Catanzaro 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Frosinone 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Modena 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Cesena 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Carrarese 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Venezia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Virtus Entella 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Sudtirol 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Reggiana 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Empoli 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Monza 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Avellino 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Catanzaro 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Juve Stabia 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Mantova 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Spezia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Pescara 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Padova 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Bari 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Catanzaro
Manuel Marras 🟨
10′
L. Libutti 🔁
↦ P. Rozzio
13′
29′
A. Cisse 0–1
S. Pontisso
1–1 M. Marras
36′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Cassandro
↦ C. Favasuli
46′
🔁 P. Nuamah
↦ M. D'Alessandro
49′
🟨 Costantino Favasuli
55′
🟨 Davide Bettella
62′
🔁 M. Liberali
↦ R. Oudin
A. Bozzolan 🔁
↦ M. Marras
63′
M. Lambourde 🔁
↦ E. Tavsan
63′
2–1 M. Lambourde
A. Bozzolan
74′
Mathis Lambourde ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
75′
78′
A. Cisse 2–2
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
79′
79′
🔁 B. Verrengia
↦ G. Di Chiara
Charlys 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
80′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Reggiana

3-5-2
1 E. Motta G
2 A. Papetti D
4 P. Rozzio D
43 S. Bonetti D
23 M. Rover M
90 M. Portanova M
16 T. Reinhart M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
7 M. Marras M
10 E. Tavsan F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
21 G. Saro
12 A. Seculin
3 A. Bozzolan
17 L. Libutti
33 A. Tripaldelli
19 D. Basili
8 Charlys
44 L. Mendicino
6 F. Vallarelli
80 N. Girma
93 M. Lambourde
9 A. Novakovich

Coach: Davide Dionigi

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
18 D. Bettella D
4 Matias Antonini D
17 G. Di Chiara D
27 C. Favasuli M
20 S. Pontisso M
32 F. Rispoli M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
28 R. Oudin F
80 A. Cisse F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
23 N. Brighenti
84 T. Cassandro
26 B. Verrengia
98 D. Buglio
10 J. Petriccione
19 P. Nuamah
45 N. Buso
14 M. Liberali
7 L. Pandolfi
8 F. Pittarello
61 S. Seha

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,12
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.