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Serie B
Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi
Catanzaro
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Carrarese
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 15. · Carrarese 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Frosinone 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Venezia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 Cesena 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Carrarese 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Reggiana 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Monza 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Avellino 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Mantova 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Juve Stabia 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Virtus Entella 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Catanzaro 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Pescara 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Padova 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Bari 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Sampdoria 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Carrarese
Pietro Iemmello 🟨
2′
13′
🟨 Kleis Bozhanaj
33′
🔁 F. Melegoni
↦ K. Bozhanaj
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Matias Antonini
G. Di Chiara
46′
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Luis Hasa
Gianluca Di Chiara 🟨
53′
B. Verrengia 🔁
↦ G. Di Chiara
60′
64′
J. Illanes 1–1
L. Hasa
R. Oudin 🔁
↦ F. Pittarello
74′
F. Rispoli 🔁
↦ J. Petriccione
74′
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ P. Nuamah
74′
74′
🔁 D. Bouah
↦ S. Zanon
74′
🔁 N. Sekulov
↦ F. Abiuso
Fabio Rispoli 🟨
79′
85′
🔁 G. Parlanti
↦ E. Zuelli
85′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ M. Finotto
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ A. Cisse
90′
96′
🟨 Gabriele Parlanti
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
18 D. Bettella D
4 Matias Antonini D
17 G. Di Chiara D
27 C. Favasuli M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
19 P. Nuamah M
80 A. Cisse F
9 P. Iemmello F
8 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
23 N. Brighenti
62 R. Frosinini
26 B. Verrengia
98 D. Buglio
28 R. Oudin
32 F. Rispoli
30 G. Alesi
45 N. Buso
77 M. D'Alessandro
14 M. Liberali
7 L. Pandolfi

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Carrarese

3-4-2-1
1 M. Bleve G
26 F. Ruggeri D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
17 E. Zuelli M
70 L. Hasa M
11 M. Cicconi M
32 M. Finotto F
10 K. Bozhanaj F
9 F. Abiuso F
Bench (12)
99 V. Fiorillo
37 N. Calabrese
6 F. Oliana
5 B. Salamon
80 F. Accornero
13 D. Bouah
8 F. Melegoni
77 G. Parlanti
30 A. Arena
28 F. Di Stefano
21 T. Rubino
44 N. Sekulov

Coach: Nicola Antonio Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U ✓
2,84
B
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.