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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
Karagumruk
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
36%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
64%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 12. · Sivasspor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 25 18 6 1 +26 60
2 Konyaspor 25 14 7 4 +18 49
3 Ad. Demirspor 26 12 8 6 +15 44
4 Buyuksehyr 25 13 4 8 +13 43
5 Besiktas 26 11 8 7 +5 41
6 Alanyaspor 25 11 7 7 +8 40
7 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +8 40
8 Hatayspor 25 12 3 10 -2 39
9 Kayserispor 26 10 8 8 +1 38
10 Gaziantep 25 10 5 10 -2 35
11 Sivasspor 25 8 10 7 +3 34
12 Karagumruk 25 9 6 10 -9 33
13 Antalyaspor 26 8 7 11 -7 31
14 Kasimpasa 26 7 8 11 -2 29
15 Galatasaray 25 7 8 10 -5 29
16 Goztep 25 7 6 12 -6 27
17 Giresunspor 26 7 5 14 -6 26
18 Rizespor 26 6 5 15 -22 23
19 Altay 26 6 4 16 -13 22
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 25 4 4 17 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Sivasspor
44′
🟨 Isaac Cofie
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 H. Arslan
↦ Jorge Félix
Lucas Biglia ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
67′
67′
🟨 Uğur Çiftçi
1–0 F. Borini
68′
74′
🔁 K. Kesgin
↦ Pedro Henrique
74′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ I. Cofie
L. Mercan 🔁
↦ A. Musa
79′
Jimmy Durmaz 🟨
87′
A. Ugur 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
87′
Y. Salibur 🔁
↦ E. Mor
87′
89′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ F. Fajr
90′
🟨 Max Gradel
Burak Bekaroğlu 🟨
91′
J. Balkovec 🔁
↦ F. Borini
92′
93′
🟨 Kerem Atakan Kesgin
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-4-1-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
30 S. Dursun D
25 D. Luckassen D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
10 J. Durmaz M
9 E. Mor M
23 K. Bistrović M
16 F. Borini F
7 A. Musa F
Bench (10)
18 L. Mercan
77 A. Ugur
93 Y. Salibur
29 J. Balkovec
22 S. Onur
90 B. Demircan
60 A. Erdem
13 C. Kablan
80 H. Akgül
21 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: A. Canel

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
25 M. Yıldırım G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
6 D. Goutas D
7 M. Gradel M
76 F. Fajr M
16 Pedro Henrique M
5 I. Cofie M
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
11 Jorge Félix M
8 O. Kayode F
Bench (10)
37 H. Arslan
20 K. Kesgin
15 M. Konaté
14 S. Camara
58 Z. Erdal
35 A. Vural
4 A. Appindangoye
81 E. Satılmış
62 Ö. Yiğiter
10 S. Yılmaz

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
U
3,32
B
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.