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LaLiga2
Referee: Germán Cid
Oviedo
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Castellon
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
35%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
7 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 7. · Castellon 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 6 5 +12 45
2 Elche 24 12 7 5 +16 43
3 Almeria 23 12 7 4 +14 43
4 Levante 24 11 9 4 +13 42
5 Mirandes 23 12 5 6 +10 41
6 Huesca 24 11 7 6 +14 40
7 Oviedo 23 11 6 6 +5 39
8 Granada 24 10 7 7 +8 37
9 Sp Gijon 24 8 8 8 +2 32
10 Eibar 24 9 5 10 -2 32
11 Malaga 23 6 13 4 +1 31
12 Zaragoza 23 8 6 9 +4 30
13 Cordoba 24 8 6 10 -8 30
14 Castellon 23 8 5 10 -2 29
15 La Coruna 23 7 7 9 +2 28
16 Albacete 23 6 10 7 -3 28
17 Cadiz 23 6 9 8 -3 27
18 Burgos 23 7 6 10 -8 27
19 Eldense 24 6 6 12 -12 24
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 23 3 6 14 -17 15
22 Cartagena 24 4 3 17 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Castellon
36′
🟨 Josep Calavera
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Zarfino
↦ Josep Calavera
Sebas Moyano 🔁
↦ Paulino de la Fuente
57′
Francisco Portillo 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 De Miguel
↦ O. Camara
70′
🔁 M. Traoré
↦ B. Cipenga
Álex Cardero 🔁
↦ Portillo
71′
78′
🟨 Salvador Ruiz
D. Paraschiv 🔁
↦ I. Chaira
81′
Oier Luengo 🔁
↦ César de la Hoz
81′
Lucas Ahijado 🔁
↦ Nacho Vidal
81′
87′
🔁 D. Chirino
↦ Salva Ruiz
87′
🔁 M. Jojić
↦ A. Lottin
1–0 Alemão
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
5 Nacho Vidal D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
17 César de la Hoz M
10 Portillo M
11 S. Colombatto M
18 Paulino de la Fuente F
9 Alemão F
16 I. Chaira F
Bench (9)
7 Sebas Moyano
27 Álex Cardero
14 D. Paraschiv
15 Oier Luengo
24 Lucas Ahijado
1 Q. Braat
3 R. Alhassane
28 Santi Miguélez
29 Jaime Vázquez

Coach: Javier Calleja

Castellon

3-4-2-1
1 G. Crettaz G
17 Salva Ruiz D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
10 Raúl Sánchez M
6 T. van den Belt M
23 Josep Calavera M
16 B. Cipenga M
18 A. Lottin F
4 Israel Suero F
24 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
2 G. Zarfino
9 De Miguel
3 M. Traoré
22 D. Chirino
12 M. Jojić
51 Gonzalo Pastor
15 J. Willems
7 Sergio Moyita
11 Douglas Aurélio
20 N. Markanich
8 K. Mamah
13 A. Abedzadeh

Coach: J. Plat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,63
B
4,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.