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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Elche
U S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Cartagena
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
48%
15%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
37%
48%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
19 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 5. · Cartagena 22. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oviedo 28 14 8 6 +8 50
2 Santander 28 14 7 7 +11 49
3 Huesca 28 13 9 6 +16 48
4 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
5 Elche 27 13 8 6 +15 47
6 Almeria 28 12 10 6 +11 46
7 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
8 Granada 28 11 10 7 +11 43
9 Cordoba 28 11 6 11 -6 39
10 Sp Gijon 28 9 11 8 +4 38
11 Malaga 28 8 14 6 +1 38
12 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
13 La Coruna 28 9 9 10 +3 36
14 Zaragoza 28 9 8 11 +3 35
15 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
16 Albacete 27 8 10 9 -4 34
17 Eibar 28 9 7 12 -5 34
18 Burgos 27 9 6 12 -9 33
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 27 4 10 13 -25 22
21 Tenerife 28 4 7 17 -19 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Cartagena
David Affengruber 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
48′
⚽ Álex Millán 0–1
Dani Escriche
Bambo Diaby 🔁
↦ D. Affengruber
58′
Josan 🔁
↦ Marc Aguado
58′
Agustín Álvarez ❌
penalty missed
60′
1–1 Germán Valera ⚽
60′
63′
🟨 Pablo Cuñat
2–1 A. Álvarez ⚽
Josan
63′
66′
🔁 Andy Rodríguez
↦ D. Luna
66′
🔁 Sergio Guerrero
↦ José Machín
Jose Salinas 🟨
68′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
72′
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Mendoza
72′
73′
🔁 S. El Jebari
↦ Dani Escriche
73′
🔁 Martín Aguirregabiria
↦ Julián Delmás
82′
🟨 Sergio Guerrero
Jairo Izquierdo 🔁
↦ Germán Valera
88′
88′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Álex Millán
93′
🟨 Nacho Martínez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Elche

4-3-1-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
20 Germán Valera M
8 Marc Aguado M
14 Aleix Febas M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
9 A. Álvarez F
19 M. El Ghezouani F
Bench (12)
4 Bambo Diaby
17 Josan
21 N. Castro
7 Óscar Plano
3 Jairo Izquierdo
16 Álex Martín
5 John Donald
10 N. Fernández
23 Pejiño
18 S. Kaba
1 Miguel San Román
31 Gerard Hernández

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Cartagena

4-1-4-1
1 Pablo Cuñat G
21 Julián Delmás D
24 N. Šipčić D
22 Kiko Olivas D
20 Nacho Martínez D
16 José Machín M
14 Álex Millán M
5 A. Ndiaye M
11 Óscar Clemente M
32 D. Luna M
10 Dani Escriche F
Bench (10)
17 Andy Rodríguez
6 Sergio Guerrero
33 S. El Jebari
19 Martín Aguirregabiria
9 Alfredo Ortuño
30 J. Dick
28 Jesús Hernández
26 Ángel Andugar
12 A. Vukčević
40 Toni Fuidias

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,34
B
13,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.