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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Eldense
S U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
47%
38%
Both score Ø 58%
47%
68%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eldense 19. · Sp Gijon 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 35 19 9 7 +21 66
2 Levante 35 17 12 6 +20 63
3 Santander 35 17 9 9 +13 60
4 Mirandes 34 17 7 10 +15 58
5 Oviedo 35 16 10 9 +9 58
6 Granada 35 15 10 10 +12 55
7 Huesca 34 15 9 10 +14 54
8 Almeria 34 14 11 9 +10 53
9 Burgos 35 14 8 13 -4 50
10 Cordoba 35 13 10 12 -1 49
11 La Coruna 34 12 12 10 +6 48
12 Albacete 35 12 11 12 +0 47
13 Eibar 35 12 11 12 -1 47
14 Cadiz 35 11 12 12 +0 45
15 Castellon 35 11 10 14 -2 43
16 Malaga 34 9 15 10 -3 42
17 Sp Gijon 34 9 14 11 -1 41
18 Zaragoza 35 10 11 14 -3 41
19 Eldense 34 10 9 15 -12 39
20 Tenerife 35 8 8 19 -16 32
21 Ferrol 35 4 11 20 -38 23
22 Cartagena 34 4 5 25 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Sp Gijon
37′
⚽ César Gelabert 0–1
Jonathan Dubasin
Half-time 0–1
62′
ℹ️ Jonathan Dubasin
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
⚽ Jonathan Dubasin 0–2
Juanto 🔁
↦ Fran Gámez
65′
Iván Chapela 🔁
↦ Nacho Quintana
65′
Fede Vico ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
Fede Vico 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 Pablo García
↦ Nico Serrano
Masca 🔁
↦ S. Gassama
76′
Diego Collado 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
76′
80′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ César Gelabert
80′
🔁 Guille Rosas
↦ Kevin Vázquez
Unai Ropero 🔁
↦ Sergio Ortuño
82′
84′
🟨 Guille Rosas
1–2 Juanto ⚽
86′
Víctor García 🟨
90′
94′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ J. Otero
94′
🔁 Cote
↦ Lander Olaetxea
Matia Barzić 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Dani Martín G
15 Fran Gámez D
5 Iñigo Piña D
26 M. Barzić D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
12 A. Diawara M
19 Fede Vico M
22 S. Gassama F
9 Nacho Quintana F
Bench (12)
11 Juanto
20 Iván Chapela
16 Masca
25 Diego Collado
18 Unai Ropero
7 M. Diouri
4 D. Đumić
24 David Timor
2 Raúl Parra
13 Ian Mackay
3 Iván Martos
21 Álex Bernal

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Rubén Yáñez G
20 Kevin Vázquez D
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
22 Diego Sánchez D
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin M
18 César Gelabert M
21 Nico Serrano M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (12)
5 Pablo García
6 Nacho Martín
2 Guille Rosas
11 Víctor Campuzano
3 Cote
29 Y. Kembo
28 P. Mbemba
27 Álex Oyón
37 Aarón Quintana
31 A. Coundoul
9 Dani Queipo
13 C. Sánchez

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U
3,11
B ✓
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.