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LaLiga2
Referee: S Muresan
Burgos
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Leganes
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 9. · Leganes 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 23 13 5 5 +18 +0.5 44
2 Castellon 23 11 6 6 +11 +3.0 39
3 Las Palmas 24 10 9 5 +9 -0.4 39
4 Malaga 23 11 5 7 +9 +1.1 38
5 La Coruna 23 10 7 6 +11 +2.7 37
6 Almeria 23 10 6 7 +8 +0.9 36
7 Sp Gijon 23 11 3 9 +2 +1.9 36
8 Cordoba 23 9 8 6 +3 +1.0 35
9 Burgos 23 10 5 8 +3 +3.1 35
10 Ceuta 23 10 5 8 -2 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 23 9 7 7 +0 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 23 8 6 9 -6 +2.3 30
13 Leganes 23 7 8 8 +2 +5.1 29
14 Andorra 23 7 8 8 -5 +1.2 29
15 Valladolid 23 7 7 9 +0 +2.4 28
16 Eibar 23 7 7 9 -2 +0.5 28
17 Granada 23 5 11 7 -3 +0.1 26
18 Sociedad B 24 6 7 11 -4 -4.3 25
19 Cultural Leonesa 23 7 4 12 -12 -9.0 25
20 Huesca 23 6 6 11 -11 +0.4 24
21 Zaragoza 23 5 7 11 -14 -2.8 22
22 Mirandes 23 4 5 14 -17 -3.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Leganes
Miguel Atienza 🟨
18′
29′
🟨 Álex Millán
Iván Morante 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
I. Cordoba
48′
59′
🟨 Amadou Diawara
P. Galdames 🔁
↦ I. Morante
65′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ Curro
65′
Florian Miguel 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 D. Garcia
↦ A. Millan
66′
🔁 Duk
↦ D. Rodriguez
V. Mollejo 🔁
↦ F. Nino
76′
76′
🔁 N. Garcia
↦ R. Pena
76′
🔁 G. Melero
↦ E. Franquesa
Pablo Galdames 🟨
79′
84′
🔁 L. Asue
↦ A. Diawara
84′
O. Plano 1–1
2–1 M. Gonzalez
A. Lizancos
90′
M. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ I. Cordoba
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
21 I. Cordoba M
9 F. Nino F
16 Curro F
Bench (12)
15 A. Bunuel
17 M. Cantero
4 P. Galdames
31 F. Garcia
20 M. Gonzalez
3 O. Luengo
22 B. Martinez
7 M. Mejia
11 V. Mollejo
1 J. Ruiz
10 K. Appin
28 S. del Cerro

Coach: Luis Ramis

Leganes

4-3-3
1 J. Soriano G
7 R. Pena D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
2 Marvel D
15 E. Franquesa D
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
20 O. Plano M
10 J. Cruz F
23 A. Millan F
9 D. Rodriguez F
Bench (12)
19 D. Garcia
17 N. Garcia
26 C. Guirao
11 Duk
36 M. Leiva
14 R. Lopez
16 G. Melero
5 I. Miquel
12 L. Asue
18 B. Pauwels
13 M. San Roman
3 J. Saenz

Coach: Igor Oca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
2,86
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,70
U2,5
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Muresan · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.