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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Grasshoppers

T S T T U

1–1

Full-time

Lugano

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

19%

57%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 60%

62%

57%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 2,39

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Lugano 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	21	15	1	5	+21	+1.3	46
2	Lugano	21	12	3	6	+11	+0.1	39
3	St. Gallen	20	12	1	7	+14	+3.1	37
4	Basel	21	10	6	5	+9	+11.2	36
5	Sion	22	8	9	5	+6	+4.2	33
6	Young Boys	21	8	5	8	-5	-1.1	29
7	Lausanne	22	7	7	8	+2	+5.5	28
8	Servette	22	6	7	9	-5	+3.3	25
9	Zurich	21	7	4	10	-8	+3.4	25
10	Luzern	21	5	7	9	-3	-3.8	22
11	Grasshoppers	21	4	6	11	-11	-12.9	18
12	Winterthur	21	3	4	14	-31	-14.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+11	+2.2	23
2	Thun	11	7	1	3	+10	-1.0	22
3	St. Gallen	11	6	0	5	+7	+5.4	18
4	Sion	11	5	3	3	+6	+1.1	18
5	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	+6	+5.7	17
6	Basel	10	4	4	2	+7	+14.0	16
7	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+3	+8.0	15
8	Zurich	11	4	1	6	-4	+5.0	13
9	Servette	11	2	5	4	-3	+0.8	11
10	Grasshoppers	10	2	3	5	-1	-4.0	9
11	Winterthur	10	2	2	6	-7	-2.3	8
12	Luzern	10	1	4	5	-2	+2.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	10	8	0	2	+11	+2.3	24
2	Basel	11	6	2	3	+2	-2.8	20
3	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+7	-2.3	19
4	Lugano	10	5	1	4	+0	-2.1	16
5	Sion	11	3	6	2	+0	+3.1	15
6	Luzern	11	4	3	4	-1	-6.4	15
7	Servette	11	4	2	5	-2	+2.5	14
8	Lausanne	11	3	4	4	-1	-2.6	13
9	Zurich	10	3	3	4	-4	-1.6	12
10	Young Boys	11	3	3	5	-11	-6.9	12
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	-10	-8.8	9
12	Winterthur	11	1	2	8	-24	-11.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.