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LaLiga2
Referee: A Fuentes
Burgos
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
La Coruna
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 49%
47%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,72 xG 0,50
49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · La Coruna 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 36 21 5 10 +20 -1.1 68
2 La Coruna 36 18 10 8 +17 +2.4 64
3 Almeria 36 19 7 10 +16 +1.6 64
4 Castellon 36 17 10 9 +17 +6.0 61
5 Eibar 37 17 10 10 +13 +6.4 61
6 Las Palmas 36 16 12 8 +17 +2.4 60
7 Malaga 36 17 9 10 +16 +6.3 60
8 Burgos 36 17 9 10 +11 +4.1 60
9 Andorra 36 14 10 12 +5 +2.0 52
10 Sp Gijon 36 15 7 14 +4 +2.5 52
11 Cordoba 36 14 9 13 -4 +3.8 51
12 Ceuta 36 14 8 14 -13 -14.8 50
13 Albacete 37 12 11 14 -3 +2.0 47
14 Granada 36 11 12 13 +0 +0.7 45
15 Valladolid 37 11 10 16 -8 +2.2 43
16 Leganes 36 10 12 14 +0 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 37 11 8 18 -8 -9.3 41
18 Cadiz 36 10 8 18 -18 -7.4 38
19 Zaragoza 36 8 11 17 -16 +2.9 35
20 Huesca 36 8 9 19 -19 -0.4 33
21 Mirandes 36 8 9 19 -21 -6.1 33
22 Cultural Leonesa 36 8 8 20 -26 -9.2 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos La Coruna
Mario González 🟥
-5′
16′
B. Nsongo 0–1
Cruz Luismi
Sergio González ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
41′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
1–1 Curro
42′
45′
🟨 Bil Nsongo
Half-time 1–1
Curro Sánchez 🟨
46′
Iván Morante 🟨
49′
Miguel Atienza 🟨
50′
60′
🔁 S. Escudero
↦ G. Quagliata
P. Galdames 🔁
↦ I. Morante
65′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ I. Cordoba
65′
V. Mollejo 🔁
↦ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
73′
73′
🔁 D. Villares
↦ Cruz Luismi
73′
🔁 Z. Eddahchouri
↦ B. Nsongo
77′
🔁 J. Jurado
↦ R. Rodriguez
77′
🔁 M. Loureiro
↦ X. Navarro
79′
🟨 Dani Barcia
M. Exposito 🔁
↦ Curro
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
15 A. Bunuel D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
21 I. Cordoba M
9 F. Nino F
16 Curro F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
3 O. Luengo
11 V. Mollejo
28 S. del Cerro
31 F. Garcia
20 M. Gonzalez
4 P. Galdames
10 K. Appin
7 M. Mejia
22 B. Martinez
33 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero

Coach: Luis Ramis

La Coruna

3-4-2-1
25 A. Fernandez G
23 X. Navarro D
4 L. Noubi D
5 D. Barcia D
2 A. Altimira M
14 R. Rodriguez M
21 M. Soriano M
12 G. Quagliata M
19 Cruz Luismi F
10 Y. Hernandez F
32 B. Nsongo F
Bench (12)
1 G. Parreno
18 S. Escudero
20 J. Jurado
22 Stoichkov
15 M. Loureiro
16 J. Gragera
8 D. Villares
9 Z. Eddahchouri
6 C. Patino
17 C. Herrera
3 A. Comas
7 S. Mulattieri

Coach: Antonio Hidalgo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
2,83
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Fuentes · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.