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Pro League
Referee: A Letellier
0–2
Full-time
Charleroi
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,19 xG 1,27
57% Possession 43%
4 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Charleroi 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 19 1 4 +27 +13.9 58
2 St. Gilloise 24 16 8 0 +29 +23.6 56
3 St Truiden 24 14 3 7 +12 +15.5 45
4 Gent 23 11 5 7 +6 +2.3 38
5 Mechelen 24 10 8 6 +4 -9.8 38
6 Genk 23 10 7 6 +6 +8.7 37
7 Cercle Brugge 28 10 7 11 +2 +2.7 37
8 Anderlecht 24 9 6 9 +2 +2.3 33
9 Antwerp 24 9 5 10 +3 -2.8 32
10 Westerlo 24 8 7 9 -3 +1.4 31
11 Waregem 27 9 4 14 -7 -5.9 31
12 Standard 24 8 5 11 -12 -10.4 29
13 Charleroi 24 6 5 13 -8 -4.2 23
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 5 7 12 -15 -8.5 22
15 RAAL La Louviere 27 4 10 13 -15 -9.7 22
16 Dender 28 3 6 19 -31 -19.3 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Sory Kaba 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
L. Lakomy 🔁
↦ B. Kayo
46′
O. Gil 🔁
↦ T. Vlietinck
46′
53′
A. Bernier 0–1
K. Van Den Kerkhof
59′
🔁 A. Scheidler
↦ A. Colassin
59′
🔁 J. Romsaas
↦ P. Pflucke
69′
A. Scheidler 0–2
K. Van Den Kerkhof
M. Maertens 🔁
↦ T. Verlinden
77′
K. Vaesen 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
77′
C. Ikwuemesi 🔁
↦ S. Kaba
77′
Siebe Schrijvers 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 Y. Cisse
↦ A. Bernier
86′
🔁 J. Gaudin
↦ Y. Khalifi
86′
🔁 M. Boukamir
↦ K. Van Den Kerkhof
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
1 T. Leysen G
28 E. Pletinckx D
34 R. Nyakossi D
5 T. Ominami D
77 T. Vlietinck M
48 B. Kayo M
8 S. Schrijvers M
14 H. Teklab M
7 T. Verlinden F
39 S. Kaba F
10 Y. Maziz F
Bench (9)
16 M. Prevot
6 W. George
33 M. Maertens
24 L. Lakomy
27 O. Gil
21 W. Balikwisha
17 K. Vaesen
30 T. Akimoto
19 C. Ikwuemesi

Coach: Felice Mazzu

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kone G
27 L. Blum D
4 A. Ousou D
95 C. Keita D
24 M. Nzita D
5 E. Camara M
40 Y. Khalifi M
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
14 P. Pflucke M
17 A. Bernier M
25 A. Colassin F
Bench (9)
55 M. Delavallee
21 A. Scheidler
8 J. Romsaas
9 F. Szymczak
43 Q. Benaets
23 J. Gaudin
32 M. Boukamir
45 Y. Cisse
77 M. Noto

Coach: Mario Kohnen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U
3,37
B ✓
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Letellier · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
1,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.