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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Aberdeen

T U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 23%

27%

18%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

33%

64%

Both score Ø 47%

36%

58%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,47 xG 0,54

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	33	21	7	5	+30	+12.3	70
2	Rangers	33	19	12	2	+35	+19.5	69
3	Celtic	33	21	4	8	+24	+21.0	67
4	Motherwell	33	14	12	7	+23	+11.9	54
5	Hibernian	33	13	12	8	+14	+3.8	51
6	Falkirk	33	13	7	13	-3	+3.4	46
7	Dundee United	33	9	13	11	-9	-11.9	40
8	Aberdeen	33	9	6	18	-15	-14.1	33
9	Dundee	33	8	9	16	-19	-10.5	33
10	St Mirren	33	7	9	17	-21	-4.0	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	6	10	17	-28	-14.6	28
12	Livingston	33	1	13	19	-31	-16.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	17	13	4	0	+22	+7.8	43
2	Rangers	17	11	5	1	+20	+14.4	38
3	Celtic	16	12	1	3	+22	+15.3	37
4	Motherwell	17	10	5	2	+20	+12.1	35
5	Hibernian	16	8	6	2	+16	+9.1	30
6	Dundee United	17	6	6	5	-1	-4.3	24
7	Falkirk	17	6	5	6	+3	+5.4	23
8	Dundee	16	6	4	6	-2	-6.8	22
9	Aberdeen	16	5	5	6	+4	-5.1	20
10	St Mirren	16	5	5	6	-6	+1.2	20
11	Kilmarnock	17	5	4	8	-5	-0.6	19
12	Livingston	16	1	7	8	-9	-6.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	16	8	7	1	+15	+5.1	31
2	Celtic	17	9	3	5	+2	+5.7	30
3	Hearts	16	8	3	5	+8	+4.5	27
4	Falkirk	16	7	2	7	-6	-2.0	23
5	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.3	21
6	Motherwell	16	4	7	5	+3	-0.2	19
7	Dundee United	16	3	7	6	-8	-7.7	16
8	Aberdeen	17	4	1	12	-19	-8.9	13
9	Dundee	17	2	5	10	-17	-3.8	11
10	St Mirren	17	2	4	11	-15	-5.2	10
11	Kilmarnock	16	1	6	9	-23	-14.0	9
12	Livingston	17	0	6	11	-22	-10.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.