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Superligaen
Referee: Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen
Aarhus
T S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Odense
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Odense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Superligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 58%
48%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Odense 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 21 11 7 3 +17 40
2 FC Copenhagen 21 12 3 6 +22 39
3 Viborg 21 10 7 4 +8 37
4 Aarhus 21 9 5 7 +5 32
5 Brondby 21 8 6 7 -1 30
6 Randers FC 21 7 8 6 -3 29
7 Silkeborg 21 8 4 9 -1 28
8 Odense 21 7 7 7 -10 28
9 Midtjylland 21 6 9 6 +3 27
10 Horsens 21 6 4 11 -11 22
11 Aalborg 21 3 6 12 -14 15
12 Lyngby 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Odense
Mikkel Duelund 🟨
28′
1–0 P. Mortensen
G. Links
38′
Half-time 1–0
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
46′
M. Emil Madsen 🔁
↦ Kevin Yakob
46′
46′
🔁 E. Sabbi
↦ B. Kadrii
46′
🔁 N. Skyttä
↦ M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Felix Beijmo 🟨
47′
Gift Links 🟨
56′
62′
🟨 Gustav Grubbe Madsen
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
65′
67′
🔁 A. Þrándarson
↦ G. Grubbe
73′
🔁 K. Zohorè
↦ F. Tongya
77′
🟨 Jeppe Tverskov
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
77′
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
77′
Sigurd Haugen 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 T. Slotsager
↦ B. Paulsen
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
89′
Nicolai Poulsen 🟥
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
17 Kevin Yakob M
6 N. Poulsen M
11 G. Links M
8 M. Anderson F
20 M. Duelund F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
7 M. Emil Madsen
10 S. Haugen
19 E. Kahl
29 F. Brandhof
43 D. Herrington
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
28 A. Daghim
42 J. Andersen
21 P. Bjur

Coach: U. Rösler

Odense

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hansen G
14 G. Grubbe D
4 B. Paulsen D
22 M. Ivančević D
16 J. Skjelvik D
5 A. Manneh M
6 J. Tverskov M
30 Y. Minteh M
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen M
10 F. Tongya M
9 B. Kadrii F
Bench (9)
11 E. Sabbi
7 N. Skyttä
19 A. Þrándarson
17 K. Zohorè
28 T. Slotsager
2 N. Mickelson
8 J. Breum
24 A. Mustafić
13 H. Christian Bernat

Coach: A. Alm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Kjaersgaard-Andersen · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.