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Allsvenskan

Sirius

T T S T U

3–0

Full-time

Kalmar

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 19%

24%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

41%

34%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 11. · Kalmar 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	29	20	5	4	+34	65
2	Malmo FF	29	18	8	3	+35	62
3	Hammarby	29	19	5	5	+34	62
4	AIK	29	18	5	6	+22	59
5	Norrkoping	29	16	8	5	+28	56
6	Hacken	29	14	7	8	+18	49
7	Goteborg	29	12	9	8	+9	45
8	Elfsborg	29	10	10	9	-2	40
9	Orebro	29	9	6	14	-11	33
10	Helsingborg	29	8	6	15	-19	30
11	Sirius	29	7	5	17	-20	26
12	Ostersunds	29	5	10	14	-19	25
13	Kalmar	29	4	11	14	-22	23
14	Falkenbergs	29	5	7	17	-38	22
15	Sundsvall	29	4	8	17	-18	20
16	AFC Eskilstuna	29	4	8	17	-31	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	14	12	2	0	+31	38
2	Malmo FF	15	12	2	1	+27	38
3	Djurgarden	15	10	3	2	+19	33
4	Norrkoping	14	10	2	2	+22	32
5	AIK	14	10	2	2	+13	32
6	Elfsborg	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Goteborg	14	7	5	2	+13	26
8	Hacken	15	8	2	5	+12	26
9	Helsingborg	14	6	3	5	+0	21
10	Ostersunds	15	4	5	6	-1	17
11	Orebro	14	4	4	6	+0	16
12	Falkenbergs	14	4	4	6	-10	16
13	AFC Eskilstuna	15	3	6	6	-8	15
14	Sundsvall	15	3	4	8	-6	13
15	Sirius	14	4	1	9	-10	13
16	Kalmar	15	1	8	6	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	14	10	2	2	+15	32
2	AIK	15	8	3	4	+9	27
3	Malmo FF	14	6	6	2	+8	24
4	Norrkoping	15	6	6	3	+6	24
5	Hammarby	15	7	3	5	+3	24
6	Hacken	14	6	5	3	+6	23
7	Goteborg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
8	Orebro	15	5	2	8	-11	17
9	Sirius	15	3	4	8	-10	13
10	Elfsborg	14	3	4	7	-13	13
11	Kalmar	14	3	3	8	-11	12
12	Helsingborg	15	2	3	10	-19	9
13	Ostersunds	14	1	5	8	-18	8
14	Sundsvall	14	1	4	9	-12	7
15	Falkenbergs	15	1	3	11	-28	6
16	AFC Eskilstuna	14	1	2	11	-23	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.