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Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

U U U U T

3–1

Full-time

Kalmar

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

35%

17%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

61%

57%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Kalmar 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	23	13	8	2	+25	47
2	Hacken	22	10	8	4	+14	38
3	Norrkoping	23	10	6	7	+12	36
4	Elfsborg	23	8	12	3	+5	36
5	Sirius	22	9	8	5	+4	35
6	Djurgarden	22	9	6	7	+7	33
7	Hammarby	23	8	9	6	+1	33
8	Mjallby	23	8	7	8	-2	31
9	Ostersunds	23	7	9	7	-2	30
10	Orebro	24	8	6	10	-5	30
11	Varberg	23	7	6	10	-3	27
12	AIK	22	7	6	9	-4	27
13	Goteborg	23	4	12	7	-8	24
14	Helsingborg	23	4	9	10	-12	21
15	Falkenbergs	24	4	7	13	-16	19
16	Kalmar	23	4	7	12	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	12	8	4	0	+15	28
2	Hacken	11	7	3	1	+17	24
3	Orebro	12	6	3	3	+1	21
4	Norrkoping	12	5	4	3	+7	19
5	Mjallby	12	5	4	3	+0	19
6	Sirius	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Varberg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
8	Djurgarden	11	4	4	3	+6	16
9	Hammarby	11	3	7	1	+4	16
10	Elfsborg	11	3	7	1	+3	16
11	AIK	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Helsingborg	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Ostersunds	12	2	4	6	-5	10
14	Falkenbergs	12	2	4	6	-7	10
15	Goteborg	12	2	4	6	-10	10
16	Kalmar	12	1	4	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ostersunds	11	5	5	1	+3	20
2	Elfsborg	12	5	5	2	+2	20
3	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	Norrkoping	11	5	2	4	+5	17
5	Sirius	12	4	5	3	+1	17
6	Djurgarden	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Hammarby	12	5	2	5	-3	17
8	Goteborg	11	2	8	1	+2	14
9	Hacken	11	3	5	3	-3	14
10	AIK	11	3	4	4	-4	13
11	Mjallby	11	3	3	5	-2	12
12	Kalmar	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Varberg	12	2	4	6	-4	10
14	Orebro	12	2	3	7	-6	9
15	Falkenbergs	12	2	3	7	-9	9
16	Helsingborg	12	1	5	6	-11	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.