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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Varnamo

T U T T U

0–3

Full-time

Hammarby

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

28%

56%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

78%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,49 xG 1,83

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

7 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Hammarby 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	18	13	2	3	+29	+18.8	41
2	Djurgarden	17	11	2	4	+16	+1.3	35
3	Hammarby	18	10	2	6	+13	+1.8	32
4	Mjallby	18	9	2	7	+3	-0.2	29
5	Elfsborg	18	9	1	8	+8	+4.2	28
6	GAIS	18	9	1	8	-2	-3.4	28
7	Hacken	17	8	3	6	+5	-3.3	27
8	Sirius	18	8	3	7	+4	+1.0	27
9	AIK	18	8	2	8	-5	+1.4	26
10	Brommapojkarna	18	6	7	5	-2	+2.5	25
11	Norrkoping	18	7	2	9	-15	-3.0	23
12	Halmstad	18	7	0	11	-11	-6.4	21
13	Goteborg	18	5	5	8	-8	-4.2	20
14	Varnamo	18	5	4	9	-6	-6.0	19
15	Kalmar	18	5	1	12	-17	-7.2	16
16	Vasteras SK	18	3	3	12	-12	+2.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+15	+3.9	22
2	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+7.4	21
3	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
4	Hammarby	9	6	1	2	+11	+1.2	19
5	GAIS	9	6	1	2	+5	+0.5	19
6	AIK	9	6	0	3	+9	+2.1	18
7	Djurgarden	9	5	2	2	+4	-1.8	17
8	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+7	-1.7	16
9	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	+4	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	9	5	0	4	-4	-1.5	15
11	Sirius	9	4	2	3	+6	+1.8	14
12	Brommapojkarna	8	2	3	3	-6	+0.9	9
13	Goteborg	9	2	3	4	-6	-4.4	9
14	Vasteras SK	9	2	1	6	-6	+1.3	7
15	Kalmar	9	2	1	6	-7	-2.1	7
16	Varnamo	9	1	2	6	-10	-2.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+11	+11.4	20
2	Djurgarden	8	6	0	2	+12	+3.1	18
3	Brommapojkarna	10	4	4	2	+4	+1.5	16
4	Varnamo	9	4	2	3	+4	-3.3	14
5	Hammarby	9	4	1	4	+2	+0.6	13
6	Sirius	9	4	1	4	-2	-0.8	13
7	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
8	Goteborg	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.2	11
9	Mjallby	9	3	0	6	-5	-0.9	9
10	GAIS	9	3	0	6	-7	-3.9	9
11	Kalmar	9	3	0	6	-10	-5.2	9
12	Norrkoping	9	2	2	5	-11	-1.6	8
13	AIK	9	2	2	5	-14	-0.7	8
14	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
15	Halmstad	9	2	0	7	-15	-5.3	6
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	2	6	-6	+1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.