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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Radomiak Radom

T T U S S

0–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

33%

54%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

46%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

42%

75%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,89 xG 1,37

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Radomiak Radom 11. · Jagiellonia 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	24	13	6	5	+20	+11.0	45
2	Slask Wroclaw	24	13	6	5	+13	+2.8	45
3	Lech Poznan	25	12	8	5	+8	-2.8	44
4	Rakow	24	12	7	5	+20	+15.6	43
5	Pogon Szczecin	24	12	4	8	+16	+12.2	40
6	Legia	24	10	8	6	+6	+9.8	38
7	Gornik Zabrze	24	10	6	8	+4	-3.3	36
8	Stal Mielec	25	10	6	9	+0	-9.9	36
9	Zaglebie	25	9	7	9	-8	+2.8	34
10	Widzew Lodz	25	9	5	11	-3	-3.9	32
11	Radomiak Radom	24	8	7	9	-7	+0.2	31
12	Cracovia	25	5	13	7	-1	-0.3	28
13	Piast Gliwice	24	5	13	6	-3	+8.4	28
14	Warta Poznan	25	6	9	10	-7	-7.2	27
15	Korona Kielce	24	4	11	9	-6	-2.0	23
16	Puszcza	24	5	8	11	-13	-15.2	23
17	Ruch Chorzow	24	2	12	10	-12	-6.1	18
18	LKS Lodz	24	4	4	16	-27	-11.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	9	3	0	+23	+12.1	30
2	Jagiellonia	12	9	2	1	+20	+11.1	29
3	Lech Poznan	13	8	3	2	+14	+1.5	27
4	Stal Mielec	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.9	24
5	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	3	2	+6	-2.5	24
6	Legia	12	6	4	2	+9	+10.6	22
7	Slask Wroclaw	12	6	3	3	+7	+7.3	21
8	Widzew Lodz	12	7	0	5	+0	+3.7	21
9	Zaglebie	13	5	5	3	+0	+1.6	20
10	Puszcza	12	4	6	2	+0	-4.5	18
11	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	2	5	+3	+13.1	17
12	Piast Gliwice	12	4	5	3	+2	+8.7	17
13	Cracovia	13	3	6	4	+1	+1.2	15
14	Korona Kielce	12	3	6	3	+1	+6.1	15
15	Radomiak Radom	12	3	5	4	-2	+2.3	14
16	LKS Lodz	12	3	4	5	-10	-8.2	13
17	Ruch Chorzow	12	2	6	4	-2	+1.5	12
18	Warta Poznan	12	2	4	6	-5	-2.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	12	7	3	2	+6	-4.4	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+13	-1.0	23
3	Warta Poznan	13	4	5	4	-2	-4.9	17
4	Radomiak Radom	12	5	2	5	-5	-2.1	17
5	Lech Poznan	12	4	5	3	-6	-4.3	17
6	Jagiellonia	12	4	4	4	+0	-0.1	16
7	Legia	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.8	16
8	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-8	+1.3	14
9	Cracovia	12	2	7	3	-2	-1.5	13
10	Rakow	12	3	4	5	-3	+3.5	13
11	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	3	6	-2	-0.8	12
12	Stal Mielec	13	3	3	7	-9	-10.8	12
13	Widzew Lodz	13	2	5	6	-3	-7.6	11
14	Piast Gliwice	12	1	8	3	-5	-0.3	11
15	Korona Kielce	12	1	5	6	-7	-8.1	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	12	0	6	6	-10	-7.6	6
17	Puszcza	12	1	2	9	-13	-10.7	5
18	LKS Lodz	12	1	0	11	-17	-3.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.