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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Korona Kielce
S S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Cracovia
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,29 xG 2,28
60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 18. · Cracovia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 3 3 0 0 +5 -1.0 9
2 Lech Poznan 4 2 1 1 +3 +2.0 7
3 Widzew Lodz 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.0 7
4 Piast Gliwice 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.3 7
5 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +2 +3.1 7
6 Gornik Zabrze 4 2 1 1 +0 -0.4 7
7 Legia 3 2 0 1 +2 +1.8 6
8 Pogon Szczecin 3 1 1 1 +2 -0.1 4
9 Motor Lublin 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.5 4
10 Cracovia 3 1 1 1 -1 -3.5 4
11 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.7 4
12 Radomiak Radom 3 1 0 2 -1 +3.5 3
13 GKS Katowice 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.4 3
14 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -2 +1.3 1
15 Puszcza 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.7 1
16 Stal Mielec 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.4 1
17 Lechia Gdansk 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.4 1
18 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -4 -3.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Cracovia
9′
🟨 Virgil Ghiță
37′
V. Ghiță 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Mariusz Fornalczyk 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Mikkel Maigaard
D. Trejo 🔁
↦ W. Długosz
59′
E. Shikavka 🔁
↦ Adrián Dalmau
59′
59′
M. van Buren 0–2
V. Ghiță
Igor Kosmicki 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 Amir Al Ammari
↦ M. Maigaard
Konrad Matuszewski 🟨
66′
S. Nagamatsu 🔁
↦ M. Remacle
70′
D. Błanik 🔁
↦ M. Fornalczyk
70′
74′
🟨 Otar Kakabadze
81′
🔁 M. Rakoczy
↦ P. Sokołowski
81′
🔁 J. Atanasov
↦ F. Rózga
82′
🟨 Kamil Glik
Yevgeni Shikavka
penalty missed
89′
92′
🔁 B. Biedrzycki
↦ D. Ólafsson
92′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ M. van Buren
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
1 X. Dziekoński G
37 H. Zwoźny D
15 I. Kośmicki D
66 M. Trojak D
3 K. Matuszewski D
18 Y. Hofmeister M
71 W. Długosz M
8 M. Remacle M
27 Pedro Nuno M
17 M. Fornalczyk M
20 Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (9)
21 D. Trejo
9 E. Shikavka
10 S. Nagamatsu
7 D. Błanik
24 B. Smolarczyk
6 M. Pięczek
5 Pau Resta
73 M. Zapytowski
88 W. Kamiński

Coach: J. Zieliński

Cracovia

3-4-3
27 H. Ravas G
24 J. Jugas D
15 K. Glik D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
88 P. Sokołowski M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
18 F. Rózga
7 M. van Buren F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
6 Amir Al Ammari
10 M. Rakoczy
8 J. Atanasov
16 B. Biedrzycki
17 M. Bochnak
13 S. Madejski
77 P. Janasik
22 A. Hoskonen
14 A. Hasić

Coach: D. Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.